ATP Almaty250Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Diallo vs Mayot 2:0: result and our tips

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Gabriel DialloATP #149Elo 1874hard 1846
2:0final7:6(5) 6:2
Harold MayotATP #202Elo 1824hard 1827

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gabriel Diallo48%
Harold Mayot52%

Elo: G. Diallo 53% · H. Mayot 47%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Diallo28%
2:1 G. Diallo20%
2:1 H. Mayot20%
2:0 H. Mayot32%

First set

Gabriel Diallo48%
Harold Mayot52%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes40%
no60%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 23.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
20.569%31%60%
21.562%38%54%
22.555%45%46%
23.547%53%39%
24.544%56%38%
25.541%59%34%
26.536%64%30%

Sample: 5,237 matches

Games handicap

Harold Mayot −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes47%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 23.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Gabriel DialloHarold Mayot
10Aces3
0Double faults2
70%First serves in57%
86%First-serve points won69%
80%Second-serve points won52%
3/7Break points converted1/2
9/10Service games held7/10
84%Service points won62%
38%Return points won16%
70Total points won53

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. DialloTourH. Mayot
Service points won63%62%63%
Return points won33%38%39%
Service games held78%76%77%
Breaks of serve16%24%26%
Aces per service game0.590.41
Double faults per game0.230.20
Sets with a tie-break24%11%
Tie-breaks won8/187/13
Wins in straight sets50%55%
Matches in the sample3049

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gabriel Diallo

Harold Mayot

Elo over the last year

Gabriel DialloHarold Mayot

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. DialloH. Mayot
Hard court6–1135%26–1268%
Clay1–517%2–625%
Grass3–443%1–233%

Head to head

G. Diallo 0–1 H. Mayot

  • 25/01/24Winner: Harold Mayot6:7 6:7