WTA 125 MallorcaQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Diaz Adrover vs Sakellaridi 2:1: result and our tips

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Cristina Diaz AdroverWTA #790Elo 1412clay 1417
2:1final1:6 6:4 6:3
Sapfo SakellaridiWTA #448Elo 1235clay 1248

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Cristina Diaz Adrover39%
Sapfo Sakellaridi61%

Elo: C. Diaz Adrover 73% · S. Sakellaridi 28%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Diaz Adrover25%
2:1 C. Diaz Adrover17%
2:1 S. Sakellaridi22%
2:0 S. Sakellaridi36%

First set

Cristina Diaz Adrover46%
Sapfo Sakellaridi54%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 48%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.567%33%59%
19.560%40%52%
20.553%47%45%
21.549%51%42%
22.543%57%37%
23.539%61%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 1,495 matches

Games handicap

Sapfo Sakellaridi −2.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Cristina Diaz AdroverSapfo Sakellaridi
1Aces1
1Double faults4
76%First serves in57%
53%First-serve points won67%
27%Second-serve points won28%
7/12Break points converted7/13
6/13Service games held6/13
47%Service points won51%
49%Return points won53%
79Total points won86

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. Diaz AdroverTourS. Sakellaridi
Service points won—56%57%
Return points won—44%42%
Service games held—63%64%
Breaks of serve—37%31%
Aces per service game—0.33
Double faults per game—0.29
Sets with a tie-break—9%
Tie-breaks won—0/1
Wins in straight sets——
Matches in the sample—4

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Cristina Diaz Adrover

  • 06/04/26LSara Saito#271WTA 125 Madrid · Q21:6 1:6
  • 05/04/26WMina Hodzic#277WTA 125 Madrid · Q13:6 6:3 7:5
  • 06/10/25LAneta Kucmova#550WTA 125 Mallorca · R321:6 6:1 2:6
  • 15/09/25LFederica Urgesi#264WTA 125 Tolentino · Q26:1 4:6 4:6
  • 14/09/25WAmina AnshbaWTA 125 Tolentino · Q12:6 6:2 6:2

Sapfo Sakellaridi

  • 14/07/26LMiriana Tona#374WTA Athens · R326:7 7:5 2:6
  • 01/06/26LSofia Costoulas#159WTA 125 Foggia · R324:6 6:2 3:6
  • 11/05/26LSusan Bandecchi#137WTA 125 Parma · Q15:7 0:6
  • 26/04/26LYara Bartashevich#568WTA 125 Saint-Malo · Q14:6 6:1 4:6
  • 13/07/25LAmandine Hesse#426WTA 125 Rome · Q11:6 3:6
  • 09/09/24LIpek Oz#320WTA 125 Ljubljana · Q14:6 4:6
  • 03/02/24LZeel Desai#614WTA 125 Mumbai · Q12:6 1:6
  • 13/09/23LMarina Bassols Ribera#129WTA 125 Ljubljana · R164:6 3:6
  • 11/09/23WWeronika Falkowska#294WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:1 6:2

Elo over the last year

Cristina Diaz AdroverSapfo Sakellaridi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. Diaz AdroverS. Sakellaridi
Hard court0–00–10%
Clay1–150%0–30%

Head to head

They have not met yet.