Dodig vs Pellegrino 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 60%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dodig won 8 of the last 10 matches
Other tips
- 1st Set Winner: DodigWon58%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Dodig won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches, Pellegrino lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
- Total Games: Over 20.5Won61%
Where the number comes from: market alone 58% → with the players' profiles 61%
Dodig: 3 matches in a row over 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Dodig 53% · A. Pellegrino 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 40% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 34% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 4,830 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.0in · 25 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Matej Dodig | Andrea Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 1 |
| 3 | Double faults | 2 |
| 58% | First serves in | 56% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 74% |
| 67% | Second-serve points won | 46% |
| 3/7 | Break points converted | 1/3 |
| 12/13 | Service games held | 9/12 |
| 73% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 27% |
| 81 | Total points won | 65 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Dodig | Tour | A. Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 25% |
| Aces per service game | 0.56 | 0.31 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 16/28 | 9/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 66 | 54 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Matej Dodig
- 12/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Genoa · SF5:7 6:4 2:6
- 11/09/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#319Challenger Genoa · QF6:7 6:2 7:6
- 10/09/26WHugo Dellien#128Challenger Genoa · R165:3
- 08/09/26WFranco Agamenone#378Challenger Genoa · R326:3 4:0
- 06/09/26WJuan Pablo Varillas#200Challenger Como · F6:3 7:6
- 05/09/26WJohan Nikles#399Challenger Como · SF6:3 6:0
- 04/09/26WMax Schoenhaus#293Challenger Como · QF2:6 7:6 6:3
- 02/09/26WHenry Bernet#371Challenger Como · R166:7 7:6 7:5
- 31/08/26WMili Poljicak#286Challenger Como · R326:2 6:3
- 15/08/26LMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Hamburg · SF2:6 4:6
Andrea Pellegrino
- 09/09/26LValerio Aboian#347Challenger Genoa · R163:6 2:6
- 08/09/26WMika Petkovic#437Challenger Genoa · R327:6 6:4
- 25/08/26LColton Smith#212ATP US Open · Q16:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LZizou Bergs#39Challenger Quebec City · R163:6 2:6
- 18/08/26WNishesh Basavareddy#139Challenger Quebec City · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 30/07/26LThiago Monteiro#235Challenger San Marino · R163:6 2:6
- 28/07/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#318Challenger San Marino · R326:4 6:0
- 19/07/26LGonzalo Bueno#183ATP Estoril · Q23:6 7:5 4:6
- 18/07/26WJoao SilvaATP Estoril · Q16:3 6:2
- 16/07/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP Bastad · R166:7 7:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Dodig | A. Pellegrino | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–1257% | 1–517% |
| Clay | 25–1169% | 28–1861% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 1–150% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.