Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Domingues vs Gakhov 1:0: result and our tips

·

Joao DominguesATP #578Elo 1460clay 1453
1:0retired7:6(5) 0:0
Ivan GakhovATP #503Elo 1587clay 1574

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: Gakhov63%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 63%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Domingues lost 7 of the last 9 matches

Long shot
Total Sets: Over 2.538%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

A third set in recent matches: Domingues 4 of 9, Gakhov 10 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Joao Domingues37%
Ivan Gakhov63%

Elo: J. Domingues 33% · I. Gakhov 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Domingues21%
2:1 J. Domingues16%
2:1 I. Gakhov23%
2:0 I. Gakhov41%

First set

Joao Domingues40%
Ivan Gakhov60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.536%64%34%

Sample: 4,753 matches

Games handicap

Ivan Gakhov −3.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Joao DominguesIvan Gakhov
4Aces3
0Double faults5
55%First serves in60%
67%First-serve points won67%
50%Second-serve points won35%
2/5Break points converted2/3
4/6Service games held4/6
59%Service points won54%
46%Return points won41%
49Total points won45

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. DominguesTourI. Gakhov
Service points won57%62%60%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held65%76%71%
Breaks of serve27%24%25%
Aces per service game0.160.43
Double faults per game0.190.29
Sets with a tie-break18%12%
Tie-breaks won3/46/9
Wins in straight sets100%50%
Matches in the sample932

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Joao Domingues

Ivan Gakhov

  • 12/10/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#323Challenger Maia · Q23:6 6:4 5:7
  • 11/10/26WJoao Dinis SilvaChallenger Maia · Q16:1 6:4
  • 06/10/26LYanaki Milev#535Challenger Palermo · R322:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26LZdenek Kolar#206Challenger Szczecin · R326:4 2:6 2:6
  • 14/09/26WDali Blanch#320Challenger Szczecin · Q26:2 1:6 6:2
  • 13/09/26WOliwier SterniczukChallenger Szczecin · Q16:3 6:2
  • 06/09/26LOleg Prihodko#442Challenger Tulln · Q16:4 3:6 2:6
  • 02/08/26LThiago Monteiro#236Challenger Hagen · Q17:6 4:6 4:6
  • 27/04/26LGijs Brouwer#831Challenger Shymkent 2 · R326:7 6:3 1:6
  • 22/04/26LJelle Sels#567Challenger Shymkent · R165:7 2:4

Elo over the last year

Joao DominguesIvan Gakhov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. DominguesI. Gakhov
Hard court1–233%6–460%
Clay1–517%8–1436%

Head to head

They have not met yet.