Donald vs Pennaforti 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: M. Donald 80% · G. Pennaforti 20%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 75% | 25% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 65% | 35% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 55% | 45% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 47% | 53% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 41% | 59% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 36% | 64% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 32% | 68% | 40% |
Sample: 1,905 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 19.5in · 15 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| M. W. Donald | Gabriele Pennaforti | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 0 |
| 3 | Double faults | 6 |
| 83% | First serves in | 63% |
| 71% | First-serve points won | 45% |
| 11% | Second-serve points won | 24% |
| 6/10 | Break points converted | 1/3 |
| 6/7 | Service games held | 2/8 |
| 60% | Service points won | 37% |
| 63% | Return points won | 40% |
| 61 | Total points won | 38 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Donald | Tour | G. Pennaforti | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 44% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 71% | 76% | 77% |
| Breaks of serve | 36% | 24% | 24% |
| Aces per service game | 0.14 | 0.39 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.48 | 0.45 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 13% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/9 | 0/1 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 31 | 5 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
M. W. Donald
- 03/10/26LJuan Cruz Martin Manzano#371Challenger Bari · SF3:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WMartin Krumich#269Challenger Bari · QF4:6 6:1 6:3
- 01/10/26WLorenzo Giustino#231Challenger Bari · R166:7 6:3 3:1
- 29/09/26WOlle Wallin#413Challenger Bari · R326:3 7:5
- 28/09/26WDimitris Sakellaridis#555Challenger Bari · Q27:5 7:6
- 27/09/26WCarles Cordoba#780Challenger Bari · Q16:1 6:1
- 23/09/26LDali Blanch#320Challenger Genoa 2 · R163:6 1:6
- 22/09/26WGianluca Cadenasso#183Challenger Genoa 2 · R326:3 4:6 7:5
- 13/09/26LGiovanni Oradini#667Challenger Biella · Q17:6 5:7 2:6
- 07/09/26LMika Brunold#195Challenger Tulln · Q25:7 4:6
Gabriele Pennaforti
- 10/03/26LSean Cuenin#310Challenger Kigali 2 · R322:6 6:7
- 09/03/26WEnrico Dalla Valle#303Challenger Kigali 2 · Q26:2
- 08/03/26WAlec Beckley#561Challenger Kigali 2 · Q16:1 6:4
- 02/03/26LFlorent Bax#293Challenger Kigali · R323:6 4:6
- 16/11/25LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#323Challenger Montemar · Q16:1 4:6 3:6
- 09/09/25LPol Martin Tiffon#211Challenger Biella · R325:7 6:4 3:6
- 02/09/25LTom Gentzsch#161Challenger Genoa · R323:6 3:6
- 01/09/25WGiovanni FonioChallenger Genoa · Q26:0 4:6 6:4
- 31/08/25WAdil KalyanpurChallenger Genoa · Q16:1 6:2
- 26/08/25LStefano Travaglia#167Challenger Como · R324:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Donald | G. Pennaforti | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–167% | 0–0 |
| Clay | 16–1257% | 2–340% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.