Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Donnet vs Omarkhanov 2:0: result and our tips

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Etienne DonnetATP #817Elo 1461hard 1482
2:0final6:1 7:5
Amir OmarkhanovATP #618Elo 1321hard 1341

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: DonnetWon62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Omarkhanov lost 5 of the last 5 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Omarkhanov: 5 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Etienne Donnet61%
Amir Omarkhanov39%

Elo: E. Donnet 69% · A. Omarkhanov 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Donnet39%
2:1 E. Donnet22%
2:1 A. Omarkhanov16%
2:0 A. Omarkhanov23%

First set

Etienne Donnet58%
Amir Omarkhanov42%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 53%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,770 matches

Games handicap

Etienne Donnet −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 21.5out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Etienne DonnetAmir Omarkhanov
4Aces2
1Double faults4
61%First serves in66%
79%First-serve points won66%
63%Second-serve points won35%
3/5Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held6/9
73%Service points won55%
45%Return points won27%
71Total points won49

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. DonnetTourA. Omarkhanov
Service points won—62%56%
Return points won—38%36%
Service games held—76%63%
Breaks of serve—24%18%
Aces per service game—0.31
Double faults per game—0.34
Sets with a tie-break—0%
Tie-breaks won—0/0
Wins in straight sets——
Matches in the sample—5

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Etienne Donnet

  • 05/10/25LMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Roanne · Q16:7 4:6
  • 28/09/25LAlejandro Manzanera PertusaChallenger Villena · Q15:7 3:6
  • 16/09/25LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#266Challenger Saint Tropez · R326:3 3:6 2:6
  • 15/09/25WFlorent Bax#302Challenger Saint Tropez · Q27:6 2:6 6:3
  • 14/09/25WEgor GerasimovChallenger Saint Tropez · Q17:5 6:1
  • 04/09/25LJustin Engel#442Challenger Cassis · R166:7 2:6
  • 02/09/25WSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Cassis · R326:4 6:4
  • 15/06/25LMaxence BeaugeChallenger Royan · Q16:2 3:6 5:7
  • 08/06/25LMatthew Dellavedova#283Challenger Lyon · Q13:6 5:7
  • 03/03/25LVitaliy Sachko#172Challenger Thionville · Q25:7 2:6

Amir Omarkhanov

  • 11/08/26LBeibit Zhukayev#503Challenger Astana · R323:6 4:6
  • 28/04/26LDenis Yevseyev#469Challenger Shymkent 2 · R323:6 2:6
  • 21/04/26LRadu Albot#468Challenger Shymkent · R321:6 4:6
  • 26/10/25LMichele Ribecai#282Challenger Monastir · Q13:6 3:6
  • 13/10/25LGabriel Diallo#121ATP Almaty · R323:6 1:6
  • 29/07/25LShintaro ImaiChallenger Astana · R322:6 6:7
  • 13/10/24LDaniel EvansATP Almaty · Q14:6 2:6
  • 18/07/24LSaba Purtseladze#581Challenger Astana · R163:6 4:6
  • 16/07/24WMaxim Zhukov#730Challenger Astana · R326:4 6:4
  • 22/04/24LRoberto Bautista Agut#243ATP Madrid · Q12:6 1:6

Elo over the last year

Etienne DonnetAmir Omarkhanov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. DonnetA. Omarkhanov
Hard court0–00–30%
Clay0–00–20%

Head to head

They have not met yet.