ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying
Dougaz vs Cina 1:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Aziz Dougaz32%
Federico Cina68%
Elo: A. Dougaz 44% · F. Cina 56%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Dougaz19%
2:1 A. Dougaz14%
2:1 F. Cina23%
2:0 F. Cina45%
First set
Aziz Dougaz37%
Federico Cina63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 49%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 56% | 44% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 36% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 4,928 matches
Games handicap
Federico Cina −3.548%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes43%
tour average 34%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.5in · 29 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Aziz Dougaz | Federico Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 6 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 71% | First serves in | 63% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 43% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 2/8 | Break points converted | 4/16 |
| 11/15 | Service games held | 12/14 |
| 61% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 39% |
| 91 | Total points won | 97 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Dougaz | Tour | F. Cina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 83% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.58 | 0.38 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 14% | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 1/8 | 6/19 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 66% | |
| Matches in the sample | 23 | 67 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Aziz Dougaz
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Shanghai · Q17:6 5:7 6:4
- 27/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165ATP US Open · Q32:6 4:6
- 26/08/26WKyrian Jacquet#76ATP US Open · Q26:4 4:6 6:4
- 24/08/26WFederico Agustin Gomez#204ATP US Open · Q16:4 6:2
- 16/08/26LHayato Matsuoka#247Challenger Astana · F6:0 1:6 6:7
- 15/08/26WSergey Fomin#294Challenger Astana · SF4:6 6:1 7:5
- 14/08/26WJie Cui#420Challenger Astana · QF6:2 4:6 7:5
- 13/08/26WManas Dhamne#402Challenger Astana · R167:5 6:3
- 11/08/26WAlec Deckers#552Challenger Astana · R326:3 2:6 6:3
- 06/08/26LJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R166:7 6:3 6:7
Federico Cina
- 05/10/26WLinang XiaoATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:3 6:2
- 02/10/26LYanki Erel#300Challenger Jingshan · QF5:7 6:7
- 01/10/26WElias Ymer#192Challenger Jingshan · R163:6 6:3 6:4
- 30/09/26WJames McCabe#259Challenger Jingshan · R326:2 6:3
- 26/09/26LAlexandre Muller#133ATP Chengdu · R166:7 1:6
- 24/09/26WCamilo Ugo Carabelli#77ATP Chengdu · R326:3 6:2
- 23/09/26LNikoloz Basilashvili#124ATP Chengdu · Q23:6 2:6
- 22/09/26WKaichi Uchida#386ATP Chengdu · Q16:1 6:2
- 16/09/26LJames Kent Trotter#464Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R324:6 1:6
- 30/08/26LAlex Michelsen#35ATP US Open · R1284:6 1:6 0:6
Elo over the last year
Aziz DougazFederico Cina
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Dougaz | F. Cina | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 11–665% | 22–1559% |
| Clay | 0–30% | 15–1354% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 1–150% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Aziz Dougaz
- 05/10/26WLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Shanghai · Q17:6 5:7 6:4
Federico Cina
- 05/10/26WLinang XiaoATP Shanghai · Q12:6 6:3 6:2