Draxl vs Basilashvili 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Basilashvili: 7 matches in a row winning the first set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: L. Draxl 42% · N. Basilashvili 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 32% |
Sample: 5,729 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 34%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 34 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Liam Draxl | Nikoloz Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Aces | 11 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 69% | First serves in | 56% |
| 69% | First-serve points won | 79% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 2/6 | Break points converted | 3/8 |
| 14/17 | Service games held | 15/17 |
| 64% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 36% |
| 105 | Total points won | 112 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| L. Draxl | Tour | N. Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 21% |
| Aces per service game | 0.39 | 0.59 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.26 | 0.39 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/25 | 12/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 49% | 68% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 58 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Liam Draxl
- 05/10/26WHugo Gaston#89ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 6:4
- 23/09/26LHenry Searle#228Challenger San Diego 2 · R166:7 6:2 4:6
- 22/09/26WJack Kennedy#401Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:4 6:4
- 28/08/26LTristan Schoolkate#155ATP US Open · Q36:4 5:7 6:7
- 26/08/26WAndrew Johnson#729ATP US Open · Q26:4 6:2
- 25/08/26WNicolas Mejia#119ATP US Open · Q16:4 6:7 6:4
- 18/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Kingston · R322:6 3:6
- 04/08/26LDaniel Merida#44ATP Montreal · R1286:3 4:6 4:6
- 26/07/26LToby Samuel#100Challenger Winnipeg · F4:6 2:6
- 25/07/26WShintaro Mochizuki#123Challenger Winnipeg · SF6:0 6:3
Nikoloz Basilashvili
- 05/10/26WAndre Ilagan#194ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:7 7:5
- 28/09/26LAlejandro Davidovich Fokina#26ATP Chengdu · SF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 27/09/26WJenson Brooksby#102ATP Chengdu · QF6:4 7:6
- 25/09/26WBotic Van de Zandschulp#41ATP Chengdu · R166:4 7:5
- 24/09/26WMiomir Kecmanovic#61ATP Chengdu · R327:6 6:4
- 23/09/26WFederico Cina#147ATP Chengdu · Q26:3 6:2
- 22/09/26WHanlei LuATP Chengdu · Q16:2 6:0
- 16/09/26LNaoya Honda#607Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R326:2 6:7
- 25/08/26LSeongchan HongATP US Open · Q13:6 6:7
- 11/08/26LJaime Faria#60ATP Cincinnati · Q14:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| L. Draxl | N. Basilashvili | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 26–2057% | 14–1548% |
| Clay | 7–654% | 12–1250% |
| Grass | 0–10% | 2–340% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Liam Draxl
- 05/10/26WHugo Gaston#89ATP Shanghai · Q17:5 6:4
Nikoloz Basilashvili
- 05/10/26WAndre Ilagan#194ATP Shanghai · Q16:3 6:7 7:5