Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Dzumhur vs Kravchenko 2:0: result and our tips

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Damir DzumhurATP #103Elo 1797hard 1746
2:0final7:5 6:3
Georgii KravchenkoATP #313Elo 1578hard 1526

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Damir Dzumhur67%
Georgii Kravchenko33%

Elo: D. Dzumhur 78% · G. Kravchenko 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Dzumhur44%
2:1 D. Dzumhur22%
2:1 G. Kravchenko14%
2:0 G. Kravchenko19%

First set

Damir Dzumhur62%
Georgii Kravchenko38%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 48%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.550%50%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.539%61%37%
24.536%64%35%

Sample: 5,153 matches

Games handicap

Damir Dzumhur −3.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Damir DzumhurGeorgii Kravchenko
2Aces3
3Double faults1
61%First serves in59%
67%First-serve points won70%
67%Second-serve points won46%
3/5Break points converted1/8
10/11Service games held7/10
67%Service points won60%
40%Return points won33%
76Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. DzumhurTourG. Kravchenko
Service points won59%62%63%
Return points won40%38%42%
Service games held69%76%76%
Breaks of serve27%24%30%
Aces per service game0.140.33
Double faults per game0.160.21
Sets with a tie-break18%12%
Tie-breaks won12/256/9
Wins in straight sets54%74%
Matches in the sample5633

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Damir Dzumhur

Georgii Kravchenko

  • 05/10/26WHugo Grenier#269Challenger Villena · Q27:6 6:4
  • 04/10/26WSergi Fita JuanChallenger Villena · Q16:4 6:2
  • 27/09/26LGoncalo Marques#594Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:2 3:6 4:6
  • 08/09/26LRadu Albot#468Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 5:7
  • 06/09/26WYanaki Milev#619Challenger Plovdiv 3 · F6:0 6:2
  • 05/09/26WDusan Obradovic#461Challenger Plovdiv 3 · SF2:6 6:2 6:3
  • 04/09/26WOleksandr Ovcharenko#616Challenger Plovdiv 3 · QF6:3 6:3
  • 02/09/26WOgnjen Milic#377Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R166:0 7:6
  • 01/09/26WDaniel Siniakov#519Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R327:6 3:6 7:6
  • 23/08/26LDominik Recek#819Challenger Augsburg · Q17:5 5:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

Damir DzumhurGeorgii Kravchenko

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. DzumhurG. Kravchenko
Hard court9–1439%2–250%
Clay13–1645%17–1259%
Grass2–250%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Damir Dzumhur

First match in this tournament.

Georgii Kravchenko

  • 04/10/26WSergi Fita JuanChallenger Villena · Q16:4 6:2
  • 05/10/26WHugo Grenier#269Challenger Villena · Q27:6 6:4