WTA 125 LisbonQualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Feistel vs Nepliy 2:0: result and our tips

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Gina FeistelWTA #332Elo 1471clay 1493
2:0final6:3 6:3
Elina NepliyWTA #491Elo 1471clay 1477

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gina Feistel88%
Elina Nepliy12%

Elo: G. Feistel 52% · E. Nepliy 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Feistel70%
2:1 G. Feistel17%
2:1 E. Nepliy7%
2:0 E. Nepliy7%

First set

Gina Feistel81%
Elina Nepliy19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes23%
no77%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.5 · 54%market (no margin): 53%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 19.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.579%21%86%
16.567%33%78%
17.557%43%68%
18.546%54%60%
19.540%60%52%
20.533%67%46%
21.529%71%42%

Sample: 662 matches

Games handicap

Gina Feistel −6.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes16%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Gina FeistelElina Nepliy
3Aces1
2Double faults1
68%First serves in69%
60%First-serve points won55%
42%Second-serve points won26%
6/13Break points converted3/6
6/9Service games held3/9
54%Service points won46%
54%Return points won46%
65Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. FeistelTourE. Nepliy
Service points won56%56%54%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held67%63%58%
Breaks of serve34%37%38%
Aces per service game0.100.16
Double faults per game0.370.40
Sets with a tie-break6%11%
Tie-breaks won0/11/1
Wins in straight sets100%50%
Matches in the sample84

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gina Feistel

  • 14/09/26LBarbora Palicova#187WTA 125 Ljubljana · R325:7 1:6
  • 08/09/26LMaria Carle#238WTA 125 Antalya 4 · R327:5 5:7 6:7
  • 26/07/26LBriana Szabo#561WTA 125 Targu Mures · Q15:7 2:3
  • 17/07/26LVeronika Erjavec#144WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · QF2:6 5:7
  • 16/07/26WLaura Samson#128WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R166:3 6:1
  • 13/07/26WJulia Avdeeva#194WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · R326:2 6:2
  • 12/07/26WDiletta Cherubini#397WTA 125 Kitzbuhel · Q16:2 6:2
  • 21/02/26LRebeka Masarova#171WTA Austin · Q12:6 4:6
  • 30/03/25LDefne CirpanliWTA 125 Antalya 3 · Q10:5
  • 24/07/24LMariam Bolkvadze#338WTA 125 Warsaw · R166:2 2:6 3:6

Elina Nepliy

  • 12/07/26LViktoria Morvayova#288WTA Athens · Q24:6 1:6
  • 11/07/26WQianhui TangWTA Athens · Q12:6 6:4 6:4
  • 21/10/25LGabriela Lee#688WTA 125 Queretaro · R324:6 4:6
  • 20/10/25WMaria Fernanda Herazo Gonzalez#741WTA 125 Queretaro · Q27:6 6:3
  • 01/10/25LAnastasia Tikhonova#254WTA 125 Samsun · R324:6 0:6
  • 29/09/25WEkaterina Yashina#519WTA 125 Samsun · Q26:4 7:6
  • 28/09/25WMaryna KolbWTA 125 Samsun · Q16:3 6:0

Elo over the last year

Gina FeistelElina Nepliy

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. FeistelE. Nepliy
Hard court0–10%1–150%
Clay3–443%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.