WTA 125 QuerétaroRound of 32claybest of three sets

Ferro vs Johnson: prediction and tips

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Fiona FerroWTA #99Elo 1723clay 1735
-:-
Sofia JohnsonWTA #354Elo 1520clay 1510

Our tips

Tip in 1d 1h

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Fiona Ferro84%
Sofia Johnson16%

Elo: F. Ferro 79% · S. Johnson 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Ferro64%
2:1 F. Ferro19%
2:1 S. Johnson9%
2:0 S. Johnson8%

First set

Fiona Ferro76%
Sofia Johnson24%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes28%
no72%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 18.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 18.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.583%17%86%
16.573%27%77%
17.563%37%68%
18.552%48%59%
19.545%55%52%
20.538%62%45%
21.534%66%42%

Sample: 829 matches

Games handicap

Fiona Ferro −5.556%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes18%

tour average 20%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. FerroTourS. Johnson
Service points won55%56%56%
Return points won47%44%43%
Service games held64%63%64%
Breaks of serve45%37%36%
Aces per service game0.100.18
Double faults per game0.180.29
Sets with a tie-break6%0%
Tie-breaks won2/70/0
Wins in straight sets67%100%
Matches in the sample499

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fiona Ferro

  • 16/10/26LLeyre Romero Gormaz#131WTA 125 Lisbon · QF2:6 2:6
  • 14/10/26WSelena Janicijevic#310WTA 125 Lisbon · R167:5 6:1
  • 13/10/26WAurora Zantedeschi#272WTA 125 Lisbon · R326:3 6:4
  • 30/09/26LSijia Wei#371WTA 125 Jingshan · R161:6 0:2
  • 28/09/26WYidi Yang#387WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:4 2:6 6:1
  • 21/09/26LTalia Gibson#38WTA Singapore · R323:6 3:6
  • 13/09/26WNoma Noha Akugue#126WTA 125 Montreux · F6:1 6:2
  • 12/09/26WDalma Galfi#152WTA 125 Montreux · SF6:1 2:6 6:0
  • 11/09/26WLucie Havlickova#184WTA 125 Montreux · QF6:4 6:0
  • 10/09/26WBarbora Palicova#181WTA 125 Montreux · R166:4 6:4

Sofia Johnson

  • 22/09/26LMaria Timofeeva#72WTA 125 Porto · R324:6 2:6
  • 21/09/26LReese Brantmeier#217WTA 125 Porto · Q23:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WIvana Sebestova#824WTA 125 Porto · R166:2 6:2
  • 14/09/26LMalaika Rapolu#282WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · Q20:6 2:6
  • 13/09/26WMargaux Rouvroy#337WTA 125 Caldas da Rainha · Q16:4 6:2
  • 26/07/26LStorm Hunter#146WTA Memphis · Q17:5 1:6 3:6
  • 25/07/26WKarman Kaur ThandiWTA Memphis · R166:1 6:2
  • 21/06/26LEmiliana Arango#157WTA Eastbourne · Q23:6 2:6
  • 20/06/26WOleksandra Oliynykova#62WTA Eastbourne · Q16:0 6:2

Elo over the last year

Fiona FerroSofia Johnson

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. FerroS. Johnson
Hard court10–953%3–443%
Clay20–969%0–0
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.