Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Forti vs Forejtek 2:0: result and our tips

·

Francesco FortiATP #329Elo 1631clay 1627
2:0final6:2 7:6(3)
Jonas ForejtekATP #299Elo 1703clay 1699

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: ForejtekLost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 60%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Forejtek won 8 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • 1st Set Winner: ForejtekLost59%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Forti lost the first set in 11 of the last 20 matches, Forejtek won the first set in 13 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

  • Total Games: Over 18.5Won73%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Forejtek: 5 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Forejtek: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Francesco Forti41%
Jonas Forejtek59%

Elo: F. Forti 40% · J. Forejtek 60%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Forti23%
2:1 F. Forti17%
2:1 J. Forejtek22%
2:0 J. Forejtek39%

First set

Francesco Forti42%
Jonas Forejtek58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.573%28%68%
19.564%36%59%
20.557%43%52%
21.551%49%46%
22.545%55%40%
23.541%59%36%
24.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,902 matches

Games handicap

Jonas Forejtek −2.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Francesco FortiJonas Forejtek
8Aces3
1Double faults1
70%First serves in75%
81%First-serve points won62%
72%Second-serve points won42%
2/5Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held8/10
78%Service points won57%
43%Return points won22%
80Total points won57

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. FortiTourJ. Forejtek
Service points won62%62%62%
Return points won39%38%40%
Service games held77%76%77%
Breaks of serve26%24%28%
Aces per service game0.420.33
Double faults per game0.190.14
Sets with a tie-break20%17%
Tie-breaks won12/2412/24
Wins in straight sets62%59%
Matches in the sample5156

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Francesco Forti

Jonas Forejtek

Elo over the last year

Francesco FortiJonas Forejtek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. FortiJ. Forejtek
Hard court2–433%6–460%
Clay27–1860%25–2056%

Head to head

They have not met yet.