WTA 125 RoveretoQualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Friedsam vs Brockmann 0:2: result and our tips

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Anna-Lena FriedsamWTA #242Elo 1630hard 1609
0:2final5:7 3:6
Tessa Johanna BrockmannWTA #333Elo 1506hard 1530

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 21.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 21.5 games in recent matches: Friedsam 16 of 20, Brockmann 8 of 12 (tour average 59%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 19.5Lost45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 19.5 games in recent matches: Friedsam 12 of 20, Brockmann 7 of 12 (tour average 47%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anna-Lena Friedsam73%
Tessa Johanna Brockmann27%

Elo: A.-L. Friedsam 61% · T. Brockmann 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A.-L. Friedsam50%
2:1 A.-L. Friedsam20%
2:1 T. Brockmann14%
2:0 T. Brockmann17%

First set

Anna-Lena Friedsam65%
Tessa Johanna Brockmann35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%70%
18.564%36%61%
19.555%45%53%
20.548%52%46%
21.541%59%41%
22.537%63%37%
23.534%66%33%

Sample: 1,770 matches

Games handicap

Anna-Lena Friedsam −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5out · 21 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Anna-Lena FriedsamTessa Johanna Brockmann
0Aces1
7Double faults1
75%First serves in80%
54%First-serve points won65%
28%Second-serve points won50%
3/3Break points converted6/11
5/11Service games held7/10
47%Service points won62%
38%Return points won53%
53Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A.-L. FriedsamTourT. Brockmann
Service points won58%56%54%
Return points won41%44%46%
Service games held65%63%61%
Breaks of serve30%37%42%
Aces per service game0.350.17
Double faults per game0.350.33
Sets with a tie-break9%4%
Tie-breaks won5/71/1
Wins in straight sets56%67%
Matches in the sample3412

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anna-Lena Friedsam

Tessa Johanna Brockmann

Elo over the last year

Anna-Lena FriedsamTessa Johanna Brockmann

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A.-L. FriedsamT. Brockmann
Hard court12–1152%1–0100%
Clay4–640%4–544%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anna-Lena Friedsam

Tessa Johanna Brockmann