Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Friend vs Kikuchi 2:0: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Jay Friend92%
Yuta Kikuchi8%
Elo: J. Friend 84% · Y. Kikuchi 16%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 J. Friend74%
2:1 J. Friend16%
2:1 Y. Kikuchi4%
2:0 Y. Kikuchi5%
First set
Jay Friend83%
Yuta Kikuchi17%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes21%
no80%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%
The 19.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 20.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15.5 | 82% | 18% | 94% |
| 16.5 | 73% | 27% | 89% |
| 17.5 | 62% | 38% | 81% |
| 18.5 | 52% | 48% | 72% |
| 19.5 | 43% | 57% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 36% | 64% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 30% | 70% | 51% |
Sample: 1,371 matches
Games handicap
Jay Friend −5.553%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes20%
tour average 34%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 19.0in · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Jay Friend | Yuta Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 2 |
| 3 | Double faults | 1 |
| 57% | First serves in | 53% |
| 90% | First-serve points won | 52% |
| 46% | Second-serve points won | 50% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 8/9 | Service games held | 4/8 |
| 71% | Service points won | 51% |
| 49% | Return points won | 29% |
| 61 | Total points won | 41 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| J. Friend | Tour | Y. Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.44 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 17% | 3% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 12/18 | 1/1 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 78% | |
| Matches in the sample | 44 | 16 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Jay Friend
- 13/09/26LMax Basing#248Challenger Istanbul 3 · F3:6 6:1 0:6
- 12/09/26WMaks Kaśnikowski#238Challenger Istanbul 3 · SF7:6 6:4
- 11/09/26WYanki Erel#300Challenger Istanbul 3 · QF3:6 6:4 6:3
- 10/09/26WSamir Hamza Reguig#702Challenger Istanbul 3 · R166:2 6:1
- 08/09/26WMichele Ribecai#282Challenger Istanbul 3 · R322:6 6:4 6:4
- 03/09/26LBilly Harris#241Challenger Manacor · R165:7 4:6
- 02/09/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Manacor · R327:6 6:3
- 26/08/26LInaki Montes-de la Torre#175Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:7 1:6
- 25/08/26WMichael Geerts#345Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 06/08/26LSpencer Johnson#443Challenger Lexington · R163:6 0:6
Yuta Kikuchi
- 05/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#692Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:2 6:3
- 04/10/26WKosuke Ogura#826Challenger Wuning 3 · Q17:6 6:3
- 15/09/26LBernard Tomic#185Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R320:6 2:6
- 14/09/26WTsung-Hao Huang#788Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q27:5 6:1
- 13/09/26WMikalai Haliak#911Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · Q15:0
- 13/04/26LDaniil Ostapenkov#529Challenger Wuning 2 · Q22:6 2:6
- 12/04/26WQian Sun#896Challenger Wuning 2 · Q17:5 6:3
- 30/03/26LJi Sung Nam#827Challenger Miyazaki · Q24:6 4:6
- 29/03/26WRyuki Matsuda#692Challenger Miyazaki · Q16:3 6:2
- 04/01/26LTibo Colson#526Challenger Nonthaburi · Q10:6 1:6
Elo over the last year
Jay FriendYuta Kikuchi
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| J. Friend | Y. Kikuchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 29–1566% | 9–853% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Jay Friend
First match in this tournament.
Yuta Kikuchi
- 04/10/26WKosuke Ogura#826Challenger Wuning 3 · Q17:6 6:3
- 05/10/26WRyuki Matsuda#692Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:2 6:3