Gaston vs Jade 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: H. Gaston 83% · D. Jade 17%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 46% | 54% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 40% | 60% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 30% | 70% | 37% |
Sample: 2,442 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 20.0out · 14 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Hugo Gaston | Daniel Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 1 |
| 1 | Double faults | 2 |
| 49% | First serves in | 56% |
| 70% | First-serve points won | 68% |
| 71% | Second-serve points won | 10% |
| 5/10 | Break points converted | 0/0 |
| 7/7 | Service games held | 2/7 |
| 71% | Service points won | 42% |
| 58% | Return points won | 29% |
| 55 | Total points won | 31 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| H. Gaston | Tour | D. Jade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 40% | 38% | 37% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 68% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.25 | 0.29 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.26 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 11/18 | 0/3 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 25% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 11 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Hugo Gaston
- 05/10/26LLiam Draxl#219ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 4:6
- 27/09/26LAndrey Rublev#23ATP Hangzhou · QF7:6 6:7 1:6
- 25/09/26WJaime Faria#60ATP Hangzhou · R164:6 7:6 6:4
- 24/09/26WSho Shimabukuro#109ATP Hangzhou · R326:4 6:4
- 30/08/26LDaniil Medvedev#6ATP US Open · R1284:6 2:6 4:6
- 28/08/26WColton Smith#212ATP US Open · Q31:6 6:4 6:2
- 26/08/26WAndre Ilagan#194ATP US Open · Q26:1 6:3
- 25/08/26WGuido Ivan Justo#188ATP US Open · Q17:5 6:3
- 22/08/26LLuca Van Assche#45Challenger Quebec City · SF4:6 4:6
- 21/08/26WJesper De Jong#95Challenger Quebec City · QF7:6 6:1
Daniel Jade
- 22/09/26LDaniil Glinka#178Challenger Saint Tropez · R323:6 5:7
- 21/09/26WMathys DomencChallenger Saint Tropez · Q26:7 6:4 7:5
- 20/09/26WRyan Peniston#541Challenger Saint Tropez · Q16:7 6:2 6:2
- 17/06/26LRaphael Perot#301Challenger Royan · R161:6 0:6
- 16/06/26WMichael Zhu#957Challenger Royan · R324:6 6:2 6:3
- 20/05/26LAugust Holmgren#236ATP French Open · Q23:6 3:6
- 18/05/26WDaniel EvansATP French Open · Q16:4 6:4
- 11/05/26LElias Ymer#192Challenger Bordeaux · Q14:6 6:3 2:6
- 28/04/26LMartin Landaluce#73Challenger Aix en Provence · R326:4 1:6 3:6
- 01/03/26LKei NishikoriChallenger Thionville · Q12:6 3:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| H. Gaston | D. Jade | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 22–1461% | 2–340% |
| Clay | 12–1250% | 2–433% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.