Challenger BragaChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Gaubas vs Ajdukovic 2:1: result and our tips

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Vilius GaubasATP #141Elo 1779clay 1741
2:1final5:7 7:6(4) 6:2
Duje AjdukovicATP #353Elo 1608clay 1598

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won70%

Where the number comes from: market alone 73% → with the players' profiles 70%

Gaubas: 6 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Vilius Gaubas70%
Duje Ajdukovic30%

Elo: V. Gaubas 70% · D. Ajdukovic 31%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Gaubas47%
2:1 V. Gaubas23%
2:1 D. Ajdukovic14%
2:0 D. Ajdukovic17%

First set

Vilius Gaubas65%
Duje Ajdukovic35%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 3,892 matches

Games handicap

Vilius Gaubas −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Vilius GaubasDuje Ajdukovic
5Aces3
1Double faults3
62%First serves in47%
63%First-serve points won65%
55%Second-serve points won45%
6/12Break points converted5/10
11/16Service games held10/16
60%Service points won55%
45%Return points won40%
104Total points won93

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. GaubasTourD. Ajdukovic
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held75%76%72%
Breaks of serve25%24%26%
Aces per service game0.300.40
Double faults per game0.180.25
Sets with a tie-break21%14%
Tie-breaks won12/3010/16
Wins in straight sets55%65%
Matches in the sample5748

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Vilius Gaubas

Duje Ajdukovic

Elo over the last year

Vilius GaubasDuje Ajdukovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. GaubasD. Ajdukovic
Hard court7–464%11–1052%
Clay19–2345%12–1544%
Grass3–175%0–0

Head to head

V. Gaubas 1–0 D. Ajdukovic

  • 19/05/25Winner: Vilius Gaubas6:7 6:4 6:4

Road through the tournament

Vilius Gaubas

Duje Ajdukovic