Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Glinka vs Onclin 2:1: result and our tips

·

Daniil GlinkaATP #178Elo 1697hard 1700
2:1final4:6 6:2 6:3
Gauthier OnclinATP #168Elo 1707hard 1699

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daniil Glinka57%
Gauthier Onclin43%

Elo: D. Glinka 50% · G. Onclin 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Glinka36%
2:1 D. Glinka21%
2:1 G. Onclin18%
2:0 G. Onclin25%

First set

Daniil Glinka55%
Gauthier Onclin45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%64%
20.561%39%56%
21.556%44%51%
22.548%52%43%
23.542%58%37%
24.541%59%36%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,673 matches

Games handicap

Daniil Glinka −1.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 34%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 27 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Daniil GlinkaGauthier Onclin
9Aces5
7Double faults2
54%First serves in57%
74%First-serve points won65%
56%Second-serve points won56%
3/6Break points converted1/5
13/14Service games held10/13
65%Service points won61%
39%Return points won35%
99Total points won89

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. GlinkaTourG. Onclin
Service points won63%62%61%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held79%76%75%
Breaks of serve24%24%26%
Aces per service game0.570.18
Double faults per game0.240.30
Sets with a tie-break13%18%
Tie-breaks won18/2410/20
Wins in straight sets70%68%
Matches in the sample7948

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daniil Glinka

Gauthier Onclin

  • 30/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R161:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WDan Added#391Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R327:6 6:2
  • 08/09/26LRaphael Perot#301Challenger Cassis · R324:6 2:6
  • 25/08/26LVitaliy Sachko#172ATP US Open · Q15:7 5:7
  • 20/08/26LVit Kopriva#68Challenger Cancun · R164:6 4:6
  • 19/08/26WTimofey Skatov#210Challenger Cancun · R322:6 6:2 6:3
  • 19/08/26WAlejandro Moro Canas#233Challenger Cancun · Q26:4 5:7 6:4
  • 17/08/26WRyan Seggerman#620Challenger Cancun · Q16:3 6:4
  • 14/08/26LAndres Andrade#203Challenger Brownsburg · R163:6 3:6
  • 11/08/26WTyler Zink#344Challenger Brownsburg · R326:4 3:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Daniil GlinkaGauthier Onclin

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. GlinkaG. Onclin
Hard court38–2263%17–1553%
Clay8–753%4–544%
Grass0–40%4–357%

Head to head

D. Glinka 1–0 G. Onclin

  • 20/01/26Winner: Daniil Glinka5:7 7:6 6:4