WTA OsakaWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Golubic vs Hontama 2:0: result and our tips

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Viktorija GolubicWTA #82Elo 1825hard 1783
2:0final6:3 6:1
Mai HontamaWTA #168Elo 1589hard 1579

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost66%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Golubic 16 of 20, Hontama 14 of 20 (tour average 64%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost45%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Golubic 14 of 20, Hontama 10 of 20 (tour average 44%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Viktorija Golubic73%
Mai Hontama27%

Elo: V. Golubic 76% · M. Hontama 24%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Golubic51%
2:1 V. Golubic21%
2:1 M. Hontama13%
2:0 M. Hontama15%

First set

Viktorija Golubic68%
Mai Hontama32%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes34%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%26%72%
18.566%34%64%
19.558%42%56%
20.551%49%49%
21.545%55%44%
22.539%61%38%
23.535%65%34%

Sample: 1,768 matches

Games handicap

Viktorija Golubic −4.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Viktorija GolubicMai Hontama
0Aces1
3Double faults2
75%First serves in63%
61%First-serve points won47%
57%Second-serve points won30%
6/11Break points converted2/9
6/8Service games held2/8
60%Service points won41%
59%Return points won40%
65Total points won44

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. GolubicTourM. Hontama
Service points won55%56%55%
Return points won46%44%46%
Service games held63%63%57%
Breaks of serve42%37%43%
Aces per service game0.090.08
Double faults per game0.240.33
Sets with a tie-break11%8%
Tie-breaks won3/154/7
Wins in straight sets52%72%
Matches in the sample5636

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Viktorija Golubic

Mai Hontama

  • 06/10/26LEmerson Jones#134WTA 125 Suzhou · R324:6 0:6
  • 30/09/26LKatie Boulter#58WTA Beijing · R1283:6 4:6
  • 29/09/26WJodie Burrage#621WTA Beijing · Q22:6 6:1 6:2
  • 28/09/26WAlexandra PanovaWTA Beijing · Q17:5 6:1
  • 19/09/26LEunhye (2000) Lee#476WTA Seoul · Q10:6 7:5 3:6
  • 26/08/26LAndrea Lazaro Garcia#138WTA US Open · Q27:5 6:7 1:6
  • 24/08/26WLina Gjorcheska#357WTA US Open · Q17:6 6:3
  • 31/07/26LMaddison Inglis#133WTA 125 Vancouver · SF3:6 4:6
  • 30/07/26WHimeno Sakatsume#115WTA 125 Vancouver · QF6:2 6:2
  • 29/07/26WJia-Jing Lu#368WTA 125 Vancouver · R166:3 6:3

Elo over the last year

Viktorija GolubicMai Hontama

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. GolubicM. Hontama
Hard court16–1748%14–1450%
Clay8–562%3–350%
Grass7–370%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.