Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Gombos vs Kaouk 2:0: result and our tips

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Norbert GombosATP #355Elo 1700hard 1632
2:0final6:4 7:6(7)
Mickael KaoukATP #914Elo 1398hard 1377

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Gombos: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Other tips

  • Match Winner: GombosWon76%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 76%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Kaouk lost 4 of the last 5 matches; Gombos won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Norbert Gombos76%
Mickael Kaouk24%

Elo: N. Gombos 81% · M. Kaouk 19%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 N. Gombos54%
2:1 N. Gombos22%
2:1 M. Kaouk11%
2:0 M. Kaouk13%

First set

Norbert Gombos70%
Mickael Kaouk30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.559%41%62%
20.551%49%54%
21.545%55%49%
22.539%61%42%
23.534%66%37%

Sample: 3,621 matches

Games handicap

Norbert Gombos −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Norbert GombosMickael Kaouk
7Aces5
5Double faults5
53%First serves in66%
76%First-serve points won62%
42%Second-serve points won34%
4/13Break points converted3/6
8/11Service games held7/11
60%Service points won53%
47%Return points won40%
91Total points won81

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

N. GombosTourM. Kaouk
Service points won63%62%56%
Return points won39%38%38%
Service games held78%76%64%
Breaks of serve26%24%23%
Aces per service game0.420.25
Double faults per game0.210.32
Sets with a tie-break16%15%
Tie-breaks won14/232/2
Wins in straight sets62%0%
Matches in the sample635

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Norbert Gombos

Mickael Kaouk

  • 20/09/26LJustin Boulais#416Challenger Saint Tropez · Q17:5 3:6 2:6
  • 15/09/26LAnton Matusevich#314Challenger Rennes · R320:6 3:6
  • 01/07/26LMarvin Moeller#239Challenger Troyes · R162:6 3:6
  • 29/06/26WDali Blanch#325Challenger Troyes · R327:5 3:6 7:6
  • 09/06/26LMatteo Martineau#272Challenger Lyon · R327:6 4:6 2:6
  • 30/09/25LLoann Massard#768Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · R323:6 5:7

Elo over the last year

Norbert GombosMickael Kaouk

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

N. GombosM. Kaouk
Hard court8–850%0–20%
Clay29–1862%1–233%

Head to head

They have not met yet.