Challenger OlbiaChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Gonzalez Fernandez vs Durasovic 0:2: result and our tips

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Mario Gonzalez FernandezATP #648Elo 1414hard 1442
0:2final6:7(3) 5:7
DurasovicATP #465Elo 1518hard 1533

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez37%
Durasovic63%

Elo: M. Gonzalez Fernandez 37% · Durasovic 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Gonzalez Fernandez22%
2:1 M. Gonzalez Fernandez16%
2:1 Durasovic22%
2:0 Durasovic40%

First set

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez41%
Durasovic59%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 47%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.570%30%71%
19.562%38%62%
20.556%44%54%
21.549%51%49%
22.543%57%42%
23.540%60%37%
24.537%63%35%

Sample: 5,647 matches

Games handicap

Durasovic −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 25 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Mario Gonzalez FernandezDurasovic
0Aces9
3Double faults0
71%First serves in66%
60%First-serve points won64%
50%Second-serve points won48%
3/12Break points converted4/12
8/12Service games held9/12
57%Service points won59%
41%Return points won43%
91Total points won94

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. Gonzalez FernandezTourDurasovic
Service points won56%62%61%
Return points won41%38%38%
Service games held63%76%74%
Breaks of serve29%24%24%
Aces per service game0.130.51
Double faults per game0.330.24
Sets with a tie-break14%17%
Tie-breaks won4/75/16
Wins in straight sets86%40%
Matches in the sample2338

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

  • 27/09/26LMarko ToPo#330Challenger Porto 2 · Q13:6 7:6 3:6
  • 13/09/26LNikita Mashtakov#513Challenger Szczecin · Q15:7 1:6
  • 06/09/26LPavel Lagutin#410Challenger Seville · Q13:6 4:6
  • 26/08/26LRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#266Challenger Kingston 2 · R163:6 3:6
  • 25/08/26WMitchell Krueger#340Challenger Kingston 2 · R327:6 7:5
  • 24/08/26WMatt Kuhar#759Challenger Kingston 2 · Q26:2 7:5
  • 23/08/26WCalum PuttergillChallenger Kingston 2 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 16/08/26LRoger Pascual Ferra#652Challenger Kingston · Q11:6 4:6
  • 22/07/26LKeegan Smith#202Challenger Segovia · R164:6 2:6
  • 20/07/26WMiguel Tobon#506Challenger Segovia · R326:7 6:3 7:6

Durasovic

  • 29/09/26LUgo Blanchet#305Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · R323:6 4:6
  • 28/09/26WManas Dhamne#402Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q24:6 6:2 6:2
  • 27/09/26WMatisse Bobichon#571Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q16:4 6:4
  • 31/08/26LSergio Callejon Hernando#522Challenger Manacor · Q13:6 4:6
  • 25/08/26LOliver Bonding#714Challenger Roehampton 2 · R323:6 4:6
  • 19/08/26LLucas Poullain#322Challenger Roehampton · R164:6 2:6
  • 17/08/26WManas Dhamne#402Challenger Roehampton · R326:4 4:6 6:3
  • 05/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R164:6 6:4 2:6
  • 04/08/26WMichael Geerts#345Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R326:7 6:2 6:2
  • 05/07/26LVincent Marysko#812Challenger Braunschweig · Q16:7 2:6

Elo over the last year

Mario Gonzalez FernandezDurasovic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. Gonzalez FernandezDurasovic
Hard court6–1038%13–1645%
Clay1–614%2–722%

Head to head

They have not met yet.