Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Gorzny vs Marcondes 1:2: result and our tips

·

Sebastian GorznyATP #406Elo 1753hard 1736
1:2final5:7 6:2 4:6
Igor MarcondesATP #266Elo 1750hard 1736

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Gorzny 13 of 19, Marcondes 12 of 20 (tour average 54%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 22.5Won47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Gorzny 12 of 19, Marcondes 11 of 20 (tour average 42%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Sebastian Gorzny64%
Igor Marcondes36%

Elo: S. Gorzny 50% · I. Marcondes 50%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Gorzny41%
2:1 S. Gorzny22%
2:1 I. Marcondes16%
2:0 I. Marcondes21%

First set

Sebastian Gorzny60%
Igor Marcondes40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.567%33%62%
20.559%41%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.541%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,646 matches

Games handicap

Sebastian Gorzny −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 30 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Sebastian GorznyIgor Marcondes
9Aces7
2Double faults0
64%First serves in67%
79%First-serve points won66%
50%Second-serve points won63%
2/7Break points converted2/4
13/15Service games held13/15
68%Service points won65%
35%Return points won32%
94Total points won90

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. GorznyTourI. Marcondes
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won38%38%40%
Service games held79%76%79%
Breaks of serve24%24%26%
Aces per service game0.550.40
Double faults per game0.310.22
Sets with a tie-break13%18%
Tie-breaks won3/711/21
Wins in straight sets50%66%
Matches in the sample2150

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Sebastian Gorzny

Igor Marcondes

  • 29/09/26LAndrew Fenty#456Challenger Columbus · R322:6 4:6
  • 26/09/26WTimo Legout#351Challenger San Diego 2 · SF6:7 7:5 7:5
  • 25/09/26WFederico Agustin Gomez#210Challenger San Diego 2 · QF4:6 6:4 6:1
  • 23/09/26WPatrick Maloney#910Challenger San Diego 2 · R163:6 7:6 6:2
  • 22/09/26WOzan Baris#402Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:1 6:3
  • 15/09/26LNishesh Basavareddy#134Challenger Tiburon · R322:6 2:6
  • 24/08/26LMax Purcell#636Challenger Kingston 2 · R324:6 2:6
  • 19/08/26LLautaro Midon#189Challenger Kingston · R167:6 3:6
  • 17/08/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#345Challenger Kingston · R326:4 6:2
  • 24/07/26LDiego Dedura#190Challenger Tampere · QF2:6 2:6

Elo over the last year

Sebastian GorznyIgor Marcondes

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. GorznyI. Marcondes
Hard court12–957%12–667%
Clay0–020–1165%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.