WTA NingboWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Guo vs Alexandrova 0:2: result and our tips

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Hanyu GuoWTA #189Elo 1658hard 1633
0:2final2:6 3:6
Ekaterina AlexandrovaWTA #33Elo 1921hard 1903

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Match Winner: AlexandrovaWon79%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 79%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Guo lost 7 of the last 10 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Guo 6 of 20, Alexandrova 12 of 20 (tour average 34%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hanyu Guo20%
Ekaterina Alexandrova80%

Elo: H. Guo 17% · E. Alexandrova 83%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Guo10%
2:1 H. Guo10%
2:1 E. Alexandrova22%
2:0 E. Alexandrova58%

First set

Hanyu Guo27%
Ekaterina Alexandrova73%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes32%
no68%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 52%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.580%20%82%
17.569%31%72%
18.560%40%64%
19.552%48%56%
20.545%55%49%
21.541%59%44%
22.535%65%38%

Sample: 1,422 matches

Games handicap

Ekaterina Alexandrova −5.547%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes20%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Hanyu GuoEkaterina Alexandrova
2Aces2
4Double faults6
59%First serves in45%
56%First-serve points won74%
38%Second-serve points won57%
1/3Break points converted5/16
4/9Service games held7/8
49%Service points won65%
35%Return points won51%
52Total points won69

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. GuoTourE. Alexandrova
Service points won55%56%58%
Return points won45%44%42%
Service games held61%63%69%
Breaks of serve39%37%31%
Aces per service game0.120.41
Double faults per game0.300.41
Sets with a tie-break22%13%
Tie-breaks won9/165/15
Wins in straight sets50%62%
Matches in the sample3147

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hanyu Guo

Ekaterina Alexandrova

Elo over the last year

Hanyu GuoEkaterina Alexandrova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. GuoE. Alexandrova
Hard court9–950%15–1747%
Clay6–460%1–517%
Grass1–233%5–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.