WTA 125 SuzhouRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Guo vs Falei 1:2: result and our tips

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Hanyu GuoWTA #240Elo 1591hard 1560
1:2final6:7(4) 6:4 5:7
Aliona FaleiWTA #197Elo 1613hard 1604

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hanyu Guo45%
Aliona Falei55%

Elo: H. Guo 44% · A. Falei 56%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Guo28%
2:1 H. Guo19%
2:1 A. Falei19%
2:0 A. Falei34%

First set

Hanyu Guo47%
Aliona Falei53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%63%
19.560%40%55%
20.554%46%48%
21.549%51%43%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,291 matches

Games handicap

Aliona Falei −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 22%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 35 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Hanyu GuoAliona Falei
2Aces5
6Double faults7
57%First serves in65%
57%First-serve points won58%
48%Second-serve points won51%
6/18Break points converted6/23
11/17Service games held11/17
54%Service points won56%
44%Return points won47%
128Total points won135

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. GuoTourA. Falei
Service points won56%56%54%
Return points won45%44%46%
Service games held62%63%59%
Breaks of serve40%37%40%
Aces per service game0.150.19
Double faults per game0.300.44
Sets with a tie-break19%13%
Tie-breaks won7/134/6
Wins in straight sets56%56%
Matches in the sample3019

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hanyu Guo

Aliona Falei

  • 03/10/26LJessica Bouzas Maneiro#99WTA 125 Jingshan · SF3:6 3:6
  • 02/10/26WSara Sorribes Tormo#175WTA 125 Jingshan · QF6:4 6:2
  • 01/10/26WKristiana Sidorova#337WTA 125 Jingshan · R164:6 7:6 6:4
  • 29/09/26WTyra Caterina Grant#151WTA 125 Jingshan · R326:4 6:1
  • 21/09/26LFangran Tian#246WTA 125 Ankara · R322:6 6:7
  • 24/08/26LElena Pridankina#186WTA US Open · Q11:6 3:6
  • 05/08/26LCarol Young Suh Lee#140WTA 125 Warsaw · R166:2 3:6 1:6
  • 03/08/26WUrszula Radwańska#714WTA 125 Warsaw · R326:3 6:2
  • 17/07/26LVendula Valdmannova#162WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · QF2:6 3:6
  • 15/07/26WKristina Penickova#555WTA 125 Istanbul 2 · R167:5 3:6 6:3

Elo over the last year

Hanyu GuoAliona Falei

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. GuoA. Falei
Hard court9–853%9–853%
Clay6–460%0–20%
Grass1–233%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.