ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets
Hanfmann vs Majchrzak 2:1: result and our tips
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2:1final6:7(4) 7:6(3) 7:6(7)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann38%
Kamil Majchrzak62%
Elo: Y. Hanfmann 52% · K. Majchrzak 48%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 Y. Hanfmann22%
2:1 Y. Hanfmann17%
2:1 K. Majchrzak22%
2:0 K. Majchrzak39%
First set
Yannick Hanfmann42%
Kamil Majchrzak58%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.5 · 58%market (no margin): 51%
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 24.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 71% | 29% | 59% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 37% | 54% |
| 22.5 | 58% | 42% | 45% |
| 23.5 | 49% | 51% | 39% |
| 24.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 25.5 | 41% | 59% | 34% |
| 26.5 | 38% | 62% | 30% |
Sample: 5,670 matches
Games handicap
Kamil Majchrzak −2.550%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes54%
tour average 39%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.5in · 39 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Yannick Hanfmann | Kamil Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Aces | 18 |
| 1 | Double faults | 0 |
| 67% | First serves in | 65% |
| 73% | First-serve points won | 72% |
| 59% | Second-serve points won | 58% |
| 0/7 | Break points converted | 0/6 |
| 18/18 | Service games held | 18/18 |
| 68% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 32% |
| 141 | Total points won | 137 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Y. Hanfmann | Tour | K. Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 68% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 85% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 19% |
| Aces per service game | 0.70 | 0.52 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.18 | 0.14 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 28% | 29% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 21/40 | 18/37 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 67% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 49 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Yannick Hanfmann
- 28/09/26LTomáš Macháč#75ATP Beijing · Q16:7 7:6 4:6
- 31/08/26LAlejandro Tabilo#30ATP US Open · R1283:6 2:6 7:6 3:6
- 16/08/26LArthur Fils#11ATP Cincinnati · R646:7 1:6
- 14/08/26WLuca Van Assche#45ATP Cincinnati · R1286:2 6:4
- 06/08/26LNuno Borges#51ATP Montreal · R324:6 2:6
- 05/08/26WFlavio Cobolli#7ATP Montreal · R647:6 7:6
- 03/08/26WBenjamin Bonzi#92ATP Montreal · R1286:1 4:6 6:2
- 24/07/26LQuentin Halys#48ATP Kitzbuhel · SF4:6 6:7
- 23/07/26WSebastián Báez#53ATP Kitzbuhel · QF6:3 6:1
- 22/07/26WMarco Trungelliti#90ATP Kitzbuhel · R166:4 7:6
Kamil Majchrzak
- 29/09/26LArthur Fils#11ATP Tokyo · Q22:6 6:3 1:6
- 28/09/26WLorenzo Sonego#87ATP Tokyo · Q17:5 6:2
- 26/09/26LYunchaokete Bu#93ATP Hangzhou · R166:7 7:6 2:6
- 24/09/26WMattia Bellucci#86ATP Hangzhou · R326:3 6:4
- 02/09/26LValentin Vacherot#14ATP US Open · R644:6 6:4 6:7 2:6
- 30/08/26WHamad Medjedovic#78ATP US Open · R1286:3 6:3 6:3
- 24/08/26LBenjamin Bonzi#92ATP Winston Salem · R644:6 6:7
- 14/08/26LChristopher O'Connell#117ATP Cincinnati · R1284:6 6:7
- 04/08/26LGael Monfils#254ATP Montreal · R1284:6 4:6
- 29/07/26LTaylor Fritz#12ATP Washington · R163:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Yannick HanfmannKamil Majchrzak
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Y. Hanfmann | K. Majchrzak | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–1259% | 14–1942% |
| Clay | 14–961% | 1–325% |
| Grass | 4–450% | 9–375% |
Head to head
Y. Hanfmann 0–1 K. Majchrzak
- 18/09/21Winner: Kamil Majchrzak3:6 3:6