Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Heide vs Zeitune 2:1: result and our tips

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Gustavo HeideATP #116Elo 1820clay 1847
2:1final6:3 1:6 6:4
Maximo ZeituneATP #561Elo 1529clay 1536

Our tips

Our tip
Heide to win 2-0Lost70%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Heide won 2-0 in 10 of the last 20 matches, Zeitune lost 0-2 in 7 of the last 20 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gustavo Heide89%
Maximo Zeitune11%

Elo: G. Heide 86% · M. Zeitune 14%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Heide70%
2:1 G. Heide18%
2:1 M. Zeitune6%
2:0 M. Zeitune6%

First set

Gustavo Heide82%
Maximo Zeitune18%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 56%market (no margin): 50%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 20.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
15.581%19%91%
16.572%28%84%
17.561%39%76%
18.552%49%68%
19.544%56%59%
20.537%63%52%
21.532%68%47%

Sample: 1,467 matches

Games handicap

Gustavo Heide −5.555%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Gustavo HeideMaximo Zeitune
3Aces4
2Double faults1
66%First serves in64%
70%First-serve points won67%
46%Second-serve points won55%
3/6Break points converted3/10
10/13Service games held10/13
62%Service points won63%
37%Return points won38%
79Total points won83

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. HeideTourM. Zeitune
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won42%38%38%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve31%24%24%
Aces per service game0.360.33
Double faults per game0.440.16
Sets with a tie-break8%14%
Tie-breaks won9/137/12
Wins in straight sets78%47%
Matches in the sample7034

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gustavo Heide

Maximo Zeitune

  • 05/10/26WLucio Ratti#389Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:1 4:6 6:2
  • 04/10/26WDiego Ortiz GamonalChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:2 6:1
  • 21/09/26LFederico Iannaccone#587Challenger Genoa 2 · Q24:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WJuan Jose BianchiChallenger Genoa 2 · Q16:2 6:1
  • 13/09/26LAlex Marti Pujolras#499Challenger Biella · Q16:7 6:7
  • 09/09/26LPedro Martinez#130Challenger Genoa · R162:6 1:6
  • 08/09/26WAlvaro Guillen Meza#332Challenger Genoa · R326:2 4:6 7:6
  • 07/09/26WGiuseppe La Vela#543Challenger Genoa · Q26:4 6:7 6:3
  • 06/09/26WFilippo Francesco GarberoChallenger Genoa · Q26:4 6:1
  • 25/06/26LNicolas Zanellato#660Challenger Piracicaba · R326:7 6:3 4:6

Elo over the last year

Gustavo HeideMaximo Zeitune

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. HeideM. Zeitune
Hard court1–517%0–0
Clay44–1871%19–1556%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gustavo Heide

First match in this tournament.

Maximo Zeitune

  • 04/10/26WDiego Ortiz GamonalChallenger Antofagasta · Q16:2 6:1
  • 05/10/26WLucio Ratti#389Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:1 4:6 6:2