Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Henning vs Kaśnikowski 2:0: result and our tips

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Philip HenningATP #267Elo 1667hard 1686
2:0final7:6(3) 6:1
Maks KaśnikowskiATP #238Elo 1707hard 1677

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Philip Henning43%
Maks Kaśnikowski57%

Elo: P. Henning 51% · M. Kaśnikowski 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Henning25%
2:1 P. Henning18%
2:1 M. Kaśnikowski21%
2:0 M. Kaśnikowski36%

First set

Philip Henning45%
Maks Kaśnikowski55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%64%
20.561%39%56%
21.555%45%51%
22.547%53%43%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%36%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,612 matches

Games handicap

Maks Kaśnikowski −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes35%

tour average 34%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 20 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Philip HenningMaks Kaśnikowski
2Aces4
3Double faults2
67%First serves in72%
78%First-serve points won64%
68%Second-serve points won69%
2/6Break points converted0/2
10/10Service games held7/9
75%Service points won66%
35%Return points won25%
70Total points won55

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. HenningTourM. Kaśnikowski
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won41%38%40%
Service games held76%76%81%
Breaks of serve31%24%26%
Aces per service game0.340.37
Double faults per game0.200.13
Sets with a tie-break9%14%
Tie-breaks won3/711/23
Wins in straight sets78%72%
Matches in the sample3366

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Philip Henning

Maks Kaśnikowski

Elo over the last year

Philip HenningMaks Kaśnikowski

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. HenningM. Kaśnikowski
Hard court15–865%26–1662%
Clay3–730%13–1154%

Head to head

P. Henning 0–1 M. Kaśnikowski

  • 04/08/26Winner: Maks Kaśnikowski3:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Philip Henning

Maks Kaśnikowski

First match in this tournament.

See also