Heredia vs Ribeiro 0:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ribeiro: 5 matches in a row without a deciding set
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Heredia 43% · E. Ribeiro 57%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.8
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 27% | 77% |
| 18.5 | 63% | 37% | 69% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 60% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 53% |
| 21.5 | 43% | 57% | 48% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 41% |
| 23.5 | 34% | 66% | 37% |
Sample: 2,683 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 28%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 20.5in · 19 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Samuel Heredia | Eduardo Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 4 |
| 4 | Double faults | 5 |
| 63% | First serves in | 56% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 32% | Second-serve points won | 52% |
| 1/6 | Break points converted | 3/8 |
| 6/9 | Service games held | 9/10 |
| 54% | Service points won | 65% |
| 35% | Return points won | 46% |
| 55 | Total points won | 70 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Heredia | Tour | E. Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 60% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 73% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 28% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.23 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.46 | 0.13 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 9% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/6 | 4/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 77% | 74% | |
| Matches in the sample | 29 | 48 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Samuel Heredia
- 30/09/26LJoao Eduardo Schiessl#492Challenger Curitiba · R324:6 5:7
- 28/09/26WJuan Sebastian Osorio#680Challenger Curitiba · Q27:6 5:7 6:4
- 27/09/26WLeonardo Storck FrancaChallenger Curitiba · Q13:6 6:3 6:1
- 18/08/26LLaslo Djere#179Challenger Cancun · Q13:6 4:6
- 20/07/26LMassimo Giunta#390Challenger Segovia · Q21:6 4:6
- 19/07/26WJohn Echeverria#555Challenger Segovia · Q16:4 7:6
- 12/07/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#428Challenger Pozoblanco · Q16:1 4:6 1:6
- 07/07/26LLorenzo Claverie#889Challenger Bogota · R326:7 7:6 1:6
- 04/07/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#255Challenger Quito · SF3:6 6:4 4:6
- 03/07/26WIgnacio Monzon#569Challenger Quito · QF6:2 6:4
Eduardo Ribeiro
- 30/09/26LPedro Sakamoto#482Challenger Curitiba · R323:6 4:6
- 25/09/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#242Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · QF4:6 4:6
- 24/09/26WFederico Coria#843Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R166:4 7:5
- 22/09/26WPedro Martinez#130Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R327:6 6:3
- 01/09/26LPedro Vives Marcos#542Challenger Porto · R326:7 4:6
- 31/08/26WJelle Sels#579Challenger Porto · Q23:6 7:5 7:5
- 30/08/26WNicolas Barrientos#948Challenger Porto · Q16:2 6:2
- 24/08/26LSandro Kopp#316Challenger Augsburg · R321:6 7:6 1:6
- 17/08/26LSumit Nagal#253Challenger Prague · R326:7 4:6
- 12/08/26LNiels McDonald#491Challenger Hamburg · R166:4 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Heredia | E. Ribeiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 2–433% | 1–150% |
| Clay | 11–1248% | 22–2448% |
Head to head
S. Heredia 1–0 E. Ribeiro
- 02/07/26Winner: Samuel Heredia6:4 6:4