Hernandez vs Covato 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Hernandez 80% · M. Covato 20%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 81% | 19% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 72% | 28% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 62% | 38% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 53% | 47% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 46% | 54% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 59% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 40% |
Sample: 2,359 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 20.5out · 22 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Alex Hernandez | Matteo Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 12 |
| 3 | Double faults | 6 |
| 57% | First serves in | 60% |
| 68% | First-serve points won | 76% |
| 64% | Second-serve points won | 40% |
| 3/6 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 10/11 | Service games held | 8/11 |
| 66% | Service points won | 62% |
| 38% | Return points won | 34% |
| 67 | Total points won | 61 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Hernandez | Tour | M. Covato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 62% | 57% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 34% |
| Service games held | 70% | 76% | 67% |
| Breaks of serve | 23% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.20 | 0.47 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.36 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 12% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 5/10 | 2/5 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 100% | |
| Matches in the sample | 35 | 18 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Alex Hernandez
- 08/09/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#517Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:7 4:6
- 07/09/26WTuncay Duran#626Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:4 1:6 6:3
- 06/09/26WCem IlkelChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:2 6:4
- 31/08/26LMarek Gengel#414Challenger Manacor · Q17:6 3:6 0:2
- 25/08/26LPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#436Challenger Kingston 2 · R321:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LAlan Magadan#523Challenger Cancun · R326:4 0:6 4:6
- 02/08/26LMillen Hurrion#538Challenger Lexington · Q14:6 4:6
- 28/07/26LBernard Tomic#185ATP Los Cabos · R321:6 0:6
- 27/07/26WAlan Magadan#523ATP Los Cabos · Q26:3 7:6
- 26/07/26WNicolas Mejia#119ATP Los Cabos · R167:5 6:2
Matteo Covato
- 13/09/26LIzan Almazan Valiente#428Challenger Biella · Q13:6 1:6
- 06/09/26LLeo Raquillet#710Challenger Cassis · Q12:6 2:6
- 30/08/26LFausto Tabacco#470Challenger Como · Q15:7 6:3 3:6
- 05/07/26LJesse DelaneyChallenger Nottingham 3 · Q11:6 3:6
- 06/05/26LIvan Marrero Curbelo#370Challenger Brazzaville · R161:6 1:6
- 05/05/26WJody MaginleyChallenger Brazzaville · R326:3 7:6
- 12/04/26LEnzo Camargo LimaChallenger Santa Cruz · Q12:6 0:6
- 05/04/26LAndrew Fenty#466Challenger Mexico City · Q13:6 2:6
- 30/03/26LTibo Colson#526Challenger San Luis Potosi · Q22:6 1:6
- 29/03/26WLuis Antonio AvilaChallenger San Luis Potosi · Q16:3 6:4
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Hernandez | M. Covato | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 8–1436% | 0–40% |
| Clay | 4–931% | 4–931% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.