Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Hernandez vs Nesterov 0:2: result and our tips
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Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Carles Hernandez18%
Pyotr Nesterov82%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 C. Hernandez10%
2:1 C. Hernandez9%
2:1 P. Nesterov21%
2:0 P. Nesterov61%
First set
Carles Hernandez24%
Pyotr Nesterov76%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes29%
no71%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%
The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 77% | 23% | 81% |
| 18.5 | 68% | 32% | 72% |
| 19.5 | 59% | 42% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 49% | 51% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 44% | 56% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 37% | 63% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 32% | 69% | 37% |
Sample: 2,545 matches
Games handicap
Pyotr Nesterov −4.552%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes30%
tour average 34%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 0:2
- Total games Under 20.5out · 22 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Carles Hernandez | Pyotr Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 8 |
| 3 | Double faults | 2 |
| 68% | First serves in | 64% |
| 61% | First-serve points won | 79% |
| 48% | Second-serve points won | 46% |
| 2/4 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 7/11 | Service games held | 8/10 |
| 57% | Service points won | 67% |
| 33% | Return points won | 43% |
| 70 | Total points won | 80 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| C. Hernandez | Tour | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | — | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | — | 38% | 41% |
| Service games held | — | 76% | 75% |
| Breaks of serve | — | 24% | 30% |
| Aces per service game | — | 0.33 | |
| Double faults per game | — | 0.15 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | — | 12% | |
| Tie-breaks won | — | 7/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | — | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | — | 43 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Carles Hernandez
- 28/09/25LPetr Brunclik#359Challenger Villena · Q14:6 0:6
Pyotr Nesterov
- 05/10/26WHynek Barton#288Challenger Villena · Q23:6 6:4 6:1
- 04/10/26WCharles ChenChallenger Villena · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
- 29/09/26LGoncalo Marques#594Challenger Porto 2 · R325:7 6:1 4:6
- 28/09/26WMarko ToPo#330Challenger Porto 2 · Q26:4 6:2
- 27/09/26WGiorgio Tabacco#700Challenger Porto 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:3
- 22/09/26LCarlos Taberner#361Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 6:1 0:6
- 01/09/26LYanaki Milev#619Challenger Plovdiv 3 · R326:7 6:3 4:6
- 09/08/26LGabriele Piraino#392Challenger Plovdiv 2 · F1:6 6:7
- 08/08/26WRadu Mihai Papoe#326Challenger Plovdiv 2 · SF7:5 6:3
- 07/08/26WAdrian Andreev#610Challenger Plovdiv 2 · QF6:4 6:1
Elo over the last year
Carles HernandezPyotr Nesterov
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| C. Hernandez | P. Nesterov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–0 | 12–667% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 15–1060% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Carles Hernandez
First match in this tournament.
Pyotr Nesterov
- 04/10/26WCharles ChenChallenger Villena · Q13:6 6:3 6:2
- 05/10/26WHynek Barton#288Challenger Villena · Q23:6 6:4 6:1