Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Hewitt vs TE 2:1: result and our tips

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Cruz HewittATP #324Elo 1623hard 1610
2:1final4:6 6:4 7:6(11)
Rigele TEATP #734Elo 1380hard 1381

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 23.5Lost59%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hewitt: 8 matches in a row under 23.5 games; Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Hewitt 16 of 20, TE 5 of 8 (tour average 63%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost63%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Hewitt: 8 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Hewitt 17 of 20, TE 5 of 8 (tour average 66%)

  • Match Winner: HewittWon65%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    TE lost 7 of the last 8 matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 40%

Hewitt: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Cruz Hewitt65%
Rigele TE35%

Elo: C. Hewitt 79% · R. TE 21%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Hewitt42%
2:1 C. Hewitt22%
2:1 R. TE15%
2:0 R. TE21%

First set

Cruz Hewitt61%
Rigele TE39%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 48%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.554%46%49%
22.548%52%42%
23.542%59%37%
24.539%61%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,506 matches

Games handicap

Cruz Hewitt −3.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Cruz HewittRigele TE
22Aces18
5Double faults4
49%First serves in54%
85%First-serve points won91%
56%Second-serve points won59%
1/3Break points converted1/9
15/16Service games held15/16
70%Service points won76%
24%Return points won30%
107Total points won111

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. HewittTourR. TE
Service points won61%62%60%
Return points won38%38%33%
Service games held73%76%73%
Breaks of serve22%24%16%
Aces per service game0.370.62
Double faults per game0.340.25
Sets with a tie-break7%21%
Tie-breaks won4/41/4
Wins in straight sets54%0%
Matches in the sample267

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Cruz Hewitt

  • 05/10/26LColeman Wong#92ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 1:6
  • 18/09/26LIlia Simakin#143Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · QF3:6 1:6
  • 17/09/26WConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#490Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R167:5 6:2
  • 15/09/26WDigvijay Pratap Singh#460Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R327:5 6:4
  • 11/09/26LMax Purcell#636Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF5:7 3:6
  • 10/09/26WTimofei Derepasko#609Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:3 6:2
  • 07/09/26WConstantin Bittoun Kouzmine#490Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:4 7:5
  • 25/08/26LArthur Fery#34ATP Winston Salem · R321:6 5:7
  • 24/08/26WSebastian Gorzny#406ATP Winston Salem · R641:6 7:6 6:4
  • 30/07/26LAlex de Minaur#8ATP Washington · R162:6 3:6

Rigele TE

  • 06/10/26LIlia Simakin#143ATP Shanghai · Q23:6 2:6
  • 05/10/26WAdam Walton#97ATP Shanghai · Q15:7 6:3 6:4
  • 28/09/26LArthur Gea#44ATP Beijing · Q12:6 3:6
  • 22/09/26LBernard Tomic#180ATP Hangzhou · Q17:6 4:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26LRio Noguchi#215Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 2:6
  • 04/05/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Wuxi · R320:6 6:7
  • 29/04/26LTung-Lin Wu#353Challenger Jiujiang · R324:6 1:6
  • 21/10/25LAoran WangChallenger Suzhou · R326:4 6:7 2:6
  • 13/10/25LHyeon Chung#577Challenger Shenzhen · R326:7 0:3
  • 29/09/25LUgo Blanchet#344ATP Shanghai · Q14:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Cruz HewittRigele TE

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. HewittR. TE
Hard court12–1250%1–614%
Clay0–00–10%
Grass1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.