WTA 125 MallorcaRound of 32claybest of three sets

Hodzic vs Steur 0:2: result and our tips

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Mina HodzicWTA #277Elo 1460clay 1485
0:2final4:6 3:6
Joelle Lilly Sophie SteurWTA #283Elo 1682clay 1679

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hodzic: 4 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: SteurWon74%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 74%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Steur won 5 of the last 6 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Mina Hodzic26%
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur74%

Elo: M. Hodzic 25% · J. Steur 75%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Hodzic13%
2:1 M. Hodzic13%
2:1 J. Steur22%
2:0 J. Steur52%

First set

Mina Hodzic33%
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur67%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 47%market (no margin): 50%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.571%29%68%
18.562%38%59%
19.553%47%52%
20.547%53%46%
21.544%56%42%
22.539%61%37%
23.535%65%33%

Sample: 1,168 matches

Games handicap

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur −4.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes19%

tour average 20%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Mina HodzicJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur
2Aces1
2Double faults2
55%First serves in81%
67%First-serve points won60%
32%Second-serve points won39%
3/7Break points converted5/6
4/9Service games held7/10
51%Service points won56%
44%Return points won49%
56Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. HodzicTourJ. Steur
Service points won56%56%55%
Return points won44%44%50%
Service games held65%63%60%
Breaks of serve35%37%49%
Aces per service game0.180.15
Double faults per game0.340.20
Sets with a tie-break11%14%
Tie-breaks won2/41/2
Wins in straight sets71%60%
Matches in the sample166

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Mina Hodzic

  • 28/09/26LZhuoxuan Bai#200WTA Beijing · Q14:6 3:6
  • 22/09/26LElena Malygina#265WTA 125 Porto · R324:6 7:5 4:6
  • 15/09/26LRebeka Masarova#171WTA 125 Valencia · R325:7 6:7
  • 07/09/26LAnastasiia Sobolieva#167WTA 125 Montreux · R322:6 6:4 5:7
  • 24/07/26LFiona Ferro#105WTA 125 Palermo · QF2:6 0:6
  • 23/07/26WNoemi Basiletti#241WTA 125 Palermo · R166:3 2:6 6:2
  • 21/07/26WCaroline Werner#267WTA 125 Palermo · R326:4 4:6 6:2
  • 19/07/26WYelyzaveta Kotliar#385WTA 125 Palermo · Q27:6 7:6
  • 18/07/26WEmily Webley-SmithWTA 125 Palermo · Q16:2 6:1
  • 13/07/26LHarriet Dart#113WTA Athens · R323:6 6:3 6:7

Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur

  • 19/09/26LClara Burel#214WTA 125 Valencia · SF1:6 4:6
  • 18/09/26WAndrea Lazaro Garcia#143WTA 125 Valencia · QF6:3 2:6 6:4
  • 16/09/26WFrancesca Curmi#233WTA 125 Valencia · R166:7 6:3 6:4
  • 15/09/26WCharo Esquiva Banuls#449WTA 125 Valencia · R326:1 6:3
  • 14/09/26WDalila Spiteri#377WTA 125 Valencia · Q26:1 7:6
  • 13/09/26WNeus Torner Sensano#577WTA 125 Valencia · Q16:3 6:1

Elo over the last year

Mina HodzicJoelle Lilly Sophie Steur

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. HodzicJ. Steur
Hard court3–443%0–0
Clay4–544%5–183%

Head to head

They have not met yet.