Challenger VillenaChallenger 125Round of 32hardbest of three sets
Holmgren vs Martinez 1:2: result and our tips
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1:2final6:2 6:7(1) 5:7
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
August Holmgren50%
Pedro Martinez50%
Elo: A. Holmgren 42% · P. Martinez 58%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 A. Holmgren31%
2:1 A. Holmgren19%
2:1 P. Martinez19%
2:0 P. Martinez30%
First set
August Holmgren50%
Pedro Martinez50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 52%
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 71% | 29% | 64% |
| 20.5 | 63% | 37% | 56% |
| 21.5 | 57% | 43% | 51% |
| 22.5 | 50% | 50% | 43% |
| 23.5 | 44% | 56% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 25.5 | 38% | 62% | 33% |
Sample: 5,060 matches
Games handicap
August Holmgren −0.549%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes40%
tour average 34%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 22.0in · 33 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| August Holmgren | Pedro Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 2 |
| 7 | Double faults | 1 |
| 58% | First serves in | 72% |
| 75% | First-serve points won | 62% |
| 53% | Second-serve points won | 55% |
| 4/8 | Break points converted | 3/7 |
| 13/16 | Service games held | 12/16 |
| 65% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 35% |
| 104 | Total points won | 96 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Holmgren | Tour | P. Martinez | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 35% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 18% | 24% | 29% |
| Aces per service game | 0.61 | 0.14 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.22 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 20% | 13% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 18/29 | 7/18 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 63 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
August Holmgren
- 02/10/26LHenrique Rocha#106Challenger Porto 2 · QF3:6 6:7
- 01/10/26WAndrea Guerrieri#165Challenger Porto 2 · R167:5 6:1
- 28/09/26WBenjamin Bonzi#92Challenger Porto 2 · R326:3 6:4
- 07/09/26LVadym Ursu#405Challenger Istanbul 3 · R324:6 5:7
- 01/09/26LFelix Balshaw#198Challenger Manacor · R326:7 5:7
- 24/08/26LAndrea Guerrieri#165ATP US Open · Q13:6 7:6 2:6
- 29/07/26LBraden Shick#211Challenger Vancouver · R327:6 3:6 3:6
- 23/07/26LLiam Draxl#219Challenger Winnipeg · R165:7 6:1 4:6
- 21/07/26WGarrett Johns#441Challenger Winnipeg · R326:7 6:2 7:6
- 18/07/26LAleksandar Vukic#115Challenger Granby · SF4:6 6:3 3:6
Pedro Martinez
- 22/09/26LEduardo Ribeiro#346Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R326:7 3:6
- 13/09/26LThiago Seyboth Wild#136Challenger Genoa · F4:6 2:6
- 12/09/26WLaslo Djere#179Challenger Genoa · SF2:6 6:4 7:5
- 11/09/26WValerio Aboian#347Challenger Genoa · QF6:1 6:2
- 09/09/26WMaximo Zeitune#561Challenger Genoa · R166:2 6:1
- 08/09/26WFrancesco Forti#336Challenger Genoa · R327:5 7:6
- 03/09/26LJay Clarke#240Challenger Como · R165:7 6:3 4:6
- 01/09/26WLorenzo Carboni#562Challenger Como · R326:1 3:0
- 25/08/26LDaniil Glinka#178ATP US Open · Q13:6 2:6
- 22/08/26LValentin Royer#105Challenger Kingston · F4:6 2:6
Elo over the last year
August HolmgrenPedro Martinez
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Holmgren | P. Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 19–2246% | 10–953% |
| Clay | 6–367% | 20–2248% |
| Grass | 5–645% | 0–10% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.