Challenger Guangzhou NanshaChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Hsu vs Cui 0:2: result and our tips

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Yu Hsiou HsuATP #287Elo 1603hard 1610
0:2final2:6 4:6
Jie CuiATP #448Elo 1594hard 1582

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Hsu: 11 matches in a row under 24.5 games; Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Hsu 17 of 20, Cui 14 of 20 (tour average 65%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon64%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No tie-break in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Won40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 20.5 games in 3 of their 3 head-to-head matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Yu Hsiou Hsu44%
Jie Cui56%

Elo: Y. Hsu 54% · J. Cui 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 Y. Hsu26%
2:1 Y. Hsu17%
2:1 J. Cui21%
2:0 J. Cui36%

First set

Yu Hsiou Hsu45%
Jie Cui55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 47%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.568%32%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.547%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.536%64%32%

Sample: 5,687 matches

Games handicap

Jie Cui −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes36%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Yu Hsiou HsuJie Cui
6Aces6
0Double faults1
70%First serves in55%
50%First-serve points won75%
44%Second-serve points won52%
2/3Break points converted5/7
4/9Service games held7/9
48%Service points won65%
35%Return points won52%
44Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

Y. HsuTourJ. Cui
Service points won60%62%62%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held74%76%77%
Breaks of serve22%24%23%
Aces per service game0.250.37
Double faults per game0.190.19
Sets with a tie-break13%25%
Tie-breaks won8/147/17
Wins in straight sets55%83%
Matches in the sample4730

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Jie Cui

Elo over the last year

Yu Hsiou HsuJie Cui

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

Y. HsuJ. Cui
Hard court17–1849%12–1741%
Clay3–443%0–10%
Grass2–433%0–0

Head to head

Y. Hsu 1–2 J. Cui

  • 01/09/25Winner: Yu Hsiou Hsu6:2 6:1
  • 17/09/24Winner: Jie Cui4:6 2:6
  • 27/08/24Winner: Jie Cui4:6 4:6