ATP ShanghaiMasters 1000Round of 128hardbest of three sets

Hurkacz vs Duckworth 2:0: result and our tips

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Hubert HurkaczATP #34Elo 2087hard 2040
2:0final6:3 7:6(4)
James DuckworthATP #64Elo 1848hard 1821

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won68%

Where the number comes from: market alone 61% → with the players' profiles 68%

Hurkacz: 9 matches in a row over 20.5 games; Over 20.5 games in recent matches: Hurkacz 16 of 20, Duckworth 13 of 20 (tour average 59%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: HurkaczWon71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Hurkacz won 8 of the last 10 matches

  • 1st Set Winner: HurkaczWon66%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Hurkacz won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Duckworth lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 26.5Lost34%

Where the number comes from: market alone 31% → with the players' profiles 34%

Over 26.5 games in recent matches: Hurkacz 10 of 20, Duckworth 7 of 20 (tour average 30%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Hubert Hurkacz71%
James Duckworth30%

Elo: H. Hurkacz 78% · J. Duckworth 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 H. Hurkacz47%
2:1 H. Hurkacz23%
2:1 J. Duckworth13%
2:0 J. Duckworth17%

First set

Hubert Hurkacz66%
James Duckworth34%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 46%market (no margin): 50%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.575%25%68%
20.568%32%59%
21.560%40%54%
22.554%46%45%
23.546%54%39%
24.540%61%38%
25.538%62%34%

Sample: 4,552 matches

Games handicap

Hubert Hurkacz −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes52%

tour average 38%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Hubert HurkaczJames Duckworth
19Aces6
1Double faults1
71%First serves in63%
80%First-serve points won73%
71%Second-serve points won73%
1/1Break points converted0/0
11/11Service games held9/10
78%Service points won73%
27%Return points won22%
72Total points won59

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

H. HurkaczTourJ. Duckworth
Service points won68%62%66%
Return points won35%38%35%
Service games held86%76%85%
Breaks of serve18%24%20%
Aces per service game0.930.63
Double faults per game0.200.26
Sets with a tie-break28%19%
Tie-breaks won19/3716/34
Wins in straight sets50%60%
Matches in the sample4773

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Hubert Hurkacz

James Duckworth

Elo over the last year

Hubert HurkaczJames Duckworth

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

H. HurkaczJ. Duckworth
Hard court16–1257%32–2062%
Clay8–562%11–473%
Grass4–357%2–433%

Head to head

H. Hurkacz 2–0 J. Duckworth

  • 20/06/24Winner: Hubert Hurkacz7:6 6:4
  • 05/11/21Winner: Hubert Hurkacz6:2 6:7 7:5

See also