WTA 125 SamsunRound of 16hardbest of three sets

Iatcenko vs Galfi 2:0: result and our tips

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Polina IatcenkoWTA #142Elo 1699hard 1690
2:0final6:4 7:6(6)
Dalma GalfiWTA #152Elo 1660hard 1635

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Iatcenko 15 of 20, Galfi 16 of 20 (tour average 69%)

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No third set in recent matches: Iatcenko 15 of 20, Galfi 15 of 20 (tour average 67%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Polina Iatcenko46%
Dalma Galfi54%

Elo: P. Iatcenko 58% · D. Galfi 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 P. Iatcenko26%
2:1 P. Iatcenko20%
2:1 D. Galfi19%
2:0 D. Galfi36%

First set

Polina Iatcenko45%
Dalma Galfi55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.559%41%52%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 2,277 matches

Games handicap

Dalma Galfi −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Polina IatcenkoDalma Galfi
2Aces5
3Double faults4
56%First serves in67%
74%First-serve points won67%
45%Second-serve points won48%
4/8Break points converted3/12
8/11Service games held7/11
61%Service points won61%
39%Return points won39%
82Total points won77

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

P. IatcenkoTourD. Galfi
Service points won57%56%58%
Return points won43%44%43%
Service games held64%63%69%
Breaks of serve37%37%32%
Aces per service game0.210.40
Double faults per game0.390.29
Sets with a tie-break9%13%
Tie-breaks won3/66/15
Wins in straight sets56%83%
Matches in the sample3052

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Polina Iatcenko

Dalma Galfi

  • 05/10/26WJulia Grabher#97WTA 125 Samsun · R326:3 6:4
  • 30/09/26LTeodora Kostovic#149WTA 125 Adana · R166:4 6:7 4:6
  • 29/09/26WElena Micic#276WTA 125 Adana · R327:5 6:0
  • 16/09/26LAlice Tubello#218WTA 125 Ljubljana · R163:6 4:6
  • 15/09/26WPia Lovric#493WTA 125 Ljubljana · R326:4 6:1
  • 12/09/26LFiona Ferro#105WTA 125 Montreux · SF1:6 6:2 0:6
  • 11/09/26WSimona Waltert#110WTA 125 Montreux · QF6:2 6:2
  • 09/09/26WNuria Brancaccio#232WTA 125 Montreux · R164:6 6:1 7:6
  • 08/09/26WValentina Ryser#251WTA 125 Montreux · R326:4 6:3
  • 25/08/26LAliaksandra Sasnovich#118WTA US Open · Q16:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

Polina IatcenkoDalma Galfi

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

P. IatcenkoD. Galfi
Hard court14–1156%12–1544%
Clay0–20%11–1052%
Grass2–167%1–325%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Polina Iatcenko

Dalma Galfi

See also