Challenger PalermoChallenger 50Round of 32claybest of three sets

Ivanovski vs Moro Canas 0:2: result and our tips

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Kalin IvanovskiATP #744Elo 1582clay 1584
0:2final2:6 3:6
Alejandro Moro CanasATP #233Elo 1737clay 1728

Our tips

Our tip
Moro Canas to winWon75%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 75%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Moro Canas won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Kalin Ivanovski26%
Alejandro Moro Canas75%

Elo: K. Ivanovski 30% · A. Moro Canas 70%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 K. Ivanovski14%
2:1 K. Ivanovski13%
2:1 A. Moro Canas23%
2:0 A. Moro Canas51%

First set

Kalin Ivanovski32%
Alejandro Moro Canas68%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no65%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 51%market (no margin): 52%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%69%
19.561%39%60%
20.554%46%53%
21.549%51%48%
22.542%58%41%
23.537%63%37%
24.535%65%35%

Sample: 3,170 matches

Games handicap

Alejandro Moro Canas −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes29%

tour average 28%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Kalin IvanovskiAlejandro Moro Canas
—Aces—
1Double faults1
53%First serves in67%
53%First-serve points won63%
56%Second-serve points won70%
0/5Break points converted3/7
5/8Service games held9/9
54%Service points won65%
35%Return points won46%
55Total points won71

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

K. IvanovskiTourA. Moro Canas
Service points won—62%62%
Return points won—38%39%
Service games held—76%74%
Breaks of serve—24%27%
Aces per service game—0.29
Double faults per game—0.17
Sets with a tie-break—21%
Tie-breaks won—19/35
Wins in straight sets—53%
Matches in the sample—68

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Kalin Ivanovski

  • 05/10/26WFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Palermo · Q26:4 7:6
  • 04/10/26WGiuseppe La Vela#543Challenger Palermo · Q16:4 5:7 6:4
  • 15/07/25LMatteo GiganteChallenger San Marino · R327:6 3:6 3:6
  • 14/07/25WFrancesco Forti#336Challenger San Marino · Q26:7 6:4 6:4
  • 13/07/25WJozef KovalikChallenger San Marino · Q17:6 7:6
  • 06/07/25LMarko ToPo#330Challenger Iasi · Q13:6 4:6
  • 01/07/25LCalvin Hemery#309Challenger Troyes · R326:7 4:6
  • 18/06/25LDimitar Kuzmanov#367Challenger Royan · R166:4 3:6 3:6
  • 17/06/25WNorbert Gombos#355Challenger Royan · R326:1 6:3
  • 12/05/25LMirza Basic#925Challenger Zagreb · Q24:6 6:3 6:7

Alejandro Moro Canas

Elo over the last year

Kalin IvanovskiAlejandro Moro Canas

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

K. IvanovskiA. Moro Canas
Hard court0–018–1260%
Clay2–0100%18–1751%
Grass0–02–167%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Kalin Ivanovski

  • 04/10/26WGiuseppe La Vela#543Challenger Palermo · Q16:4 5:7 6:4
  • 05/10/26WFederico Arnaboldi#478Challenger Palermo · Q26:4 7:6

Alejandro Moro Canas

First match in this tournament.