Ivashka vs Zhukayev 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ivashka: 5 matches in a row winning the first set
Other tips
- Match Winner: IvashkaWon77%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 77%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Ivashka won 8 of the last 10 matches; Ivashka: 5 wins in a row
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Ivashka 9 of 20, Zhukayev 10 of 20 (tour average 35%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: I. Ivashka 75% · B. Zhukayev 25%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.0
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 75% | 25% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 66% | 34% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 58% | 42% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 50% | 50% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 38% | 62% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 34% | 66% | 35% |
Sample: 3,621 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5in · 16 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Ilya Ivashka | Beibit Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aces | 3 |
| 2 | Double faults | 2 |
| 69% | First serves in | 59% |
| 85% | First-serve points won | 50% |
| 50% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 5/8 | Break points converted | 1/1 |
| 7/8 | Service games held | 3/8 |
| 74% | Service points won | 47% |
| 53% | Return points won | 26% |
| 56 | Total points won | 34 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| I. Ivashka | Tour | B. Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 35% |
| Service games held | 82% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 29% | 24% | 18% |
| Aces per service game | 0.40 | 0.82 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.25 | 0.33 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/17 | 8/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 69% | |
| Matches in the sample | 41 | 34 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Ilya Ivashka
- 13/09/26WMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Shanghai · F6:4 3:6 7:6
- 12/09/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Shanghai · SF6:3 6:4
- 11/09/26WYi Zhou#277Challenger Shanghai · QF6:3 6:3
- 10/09/26WBernard Tomic#185Challenger Shanghai · R166:4 4:6 6:2
- 08/09/26WYu Hsiou Hsu#297Challenger Shanghai · R326:3 6:3
- 04/09/26LIlia Simakin#154Challenger Zhangjiagang · QF6:7 4:6
- 03/09/26WAkira Santillan#324Challenger Zhangjiagang · R166:4 4:6 6:1
- 01/09/26WYi Zhou#277Challenger Zhangjiagang · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 07/08/26LJoel Schwaerzler#176Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · QF6:7 4:6
- 04/08/26WErgi Kirkin#656Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · R326:1 5:7 6:3
Beibit Zhukayev
- 05/10/26LYaroslav Demin#653Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 4:6
- 12/08/26LMert Alkaya#317Challenger Astana · R163:6 4:6
- 11/08/26WAmir Omarkhanov#618Challenger Astana · R326:3 6:4
- 26/04/26LYusuke Takahashi#727Challenger Jiujiang · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
- 21/04/26LLiam Broady#213Challenger Gwangju · R322:6 1:6
- 20/04/26WHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Gwangju · Q27:6 6:4
- 19/04/26WMasamichi Imamura#412Challenger Gwangju · Q16:3 6:2
- 16/04/26LSho Shimabukuro#109Challenger Busan · R163:6 6:4 6:7
- 14/04/26WUisung Park#757Challenger Busan · R324:6 6:4 6:4
- 10/04/26LJames Duckworth#64Challenger Mexico City · QF6:4 3:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| I. Ivashka | B. Zhukayev | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 27–1073% | 12–1544% |
| Clay | 2–250% | 4–357% |
Head to head
I. Ivashka 1–0 B. Zhukayev
- 02/08/23Winner: Ilya Ivashka3:6 6:3 7:6