Challenger RoanneChallenger 125Qualifying round 1hard, indoorbest of three setsqualifying

Janvier vs de Jonge 0:2: result and our tips

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Maxime JanvierATP #640Elo 1505hard 1527
0:2final4:6 2:6
Daniel de JongeATP #585Elo 1440hard 1461

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 21.5Lost57%

Where the number comes from: market alone 55% → with the players' profiles 57%

de Jonge: 6 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Janvier 12 of 20, de Jonge 6 of 6 (tour average 49%)

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost40%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Janvier 11 of 20, de Jonge 4 of 6 (tour average 35%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maxime Janvier58%
Daniel de Jonge42%

Elo: M. Janvier 59% · D. de Jonge 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Janvier37%
2:1 M. Janvier21%
2:1 D. de Jonge17%
2:0 D. de Jonge25%

First set

Maxime Janvier56%
Daniel de Jonge44%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.5 · 56%market (no margin): 53%

The 23.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.572%28%62%
20.564%36%54%
21.557%43%49%
22.551%49%42%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%60%35%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,734 matches

Games handicap

Maxime Janvier −2.548%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes41%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 23.5in · 18 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Maxime JanvierDaniel de Jonge
9Aces7
6Double faults2
61%First serves in69%
67%First-serve points won81%
30%Second-serve points won44%
1/7Break points converted4/5
5/9Service games held8/9
53%Service points won69%
31%Return points won48%
47Total points won64

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. JanvierTourD. de Jonge
Service points won62%62%64%
Return points won37%38%35%
Service games held77%76%79%
Breaks of serve21%24%19%
Aces per service game0.400.56
Double faults per game0.340.29
Sets with a tie-break15%38%
Tie-breaks won8/153/6
Wins in straight sets47%100%
Matches in the sample426

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maxime Janvier

  • 27/09/26LManas Dhamne#402Challenger Mouilleron-le-Captif · Q14:6 5:7
  • 21/09/26LDaniel Masur#380Challenger Saint Tropez · Q22:6 6:7
  • 20/09/26WHenri Squire#246Challenger Saint Tropez · Q13:6 6:4 6:4
  • 15/09/26LSascha Gueymard Wayenburg#189Challenger Rennes · R324:6 3:6
  • 14/09/26WPatrick Zahraj#511Challenger Rennes · Q26:4 6:4
  • 13/09/26WArthur ReymondChallenger Rennes · Q16:3 6:3
  • 08/09/26LYanis Ghazouani Durand#509Challenger Cassis · R326:2 3:6 5:7
  • 07/09/26WOskari Paldanius#787Challenger Cassis · Q26:1 3:6 7:5
  • 06/09/26WThomas Fancutt#697Challenger Cassis · Q15:1
  • 31/08/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#367Challenger Porto · Q24:6 6:4 2:6

Daniel de Jonge

  • 14/09/26LDaniel Masur#380Challenger Rennes · Q26:7 6:4 6:7
  • 13/09/26WLuca SanchezChallenger Rennes · Q16:4 7:6
  • 12/07/26LDimitar Kuzmanov#367Challenger Bunschoten · Q16:4 4:6 3:6
  • 08/07/26LYi Zhou#277Challenger Nottingham 3 · R167:6 1:6 1:6
  • 06/07/26WEmile Hudd#463Challenger Nottingham 3 · R327:6 6:4
  • 15/06/26LMichael Zhu#957Challenger Royan · Q26:3 6:7 4:6

Elo over the last year

Maxime JanvierDaniel de Jonge

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. JanvierD. de Jonge
Hard court11–1150%1–150%
Clay8–1142%0–20%
Grass0–10%1–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.