Jarry vs Barrios Vera 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Barrios Vera: 6 matches in a row winning the first set; Jarry lost the first set in 7 of the last 11 matches, Barrios Vera won the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches (tour average 50%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: Barrios VeraLost65%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 65%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Barrios Vera won 7 of the last 10 matches; Jarry lost 7 of the last 10 matches
- Total Games: Over 19.5Won67%
Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 67%
Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Jarry 7 of 11, Barrios Vera 15 of 20 (tour average 59%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
A third set in recent matches: Jarry 5 of 11, Barrios Vera 10 of 20 (tour average 34%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: N. Jarry 58% · T. Barrios Vera 42%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.2
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 67% | 33% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 46% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 41% | 59% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 30% |
Sample: 4,549 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Over 22.0in · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breaktie-break played
Match stats
| Nicolas Jarry | Tomas Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Aces | 0 |
| 5 | Double faults | 8 |
| 59% | First serves in | 65% |
| 64% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 46% | Second-serve points won | 38% |
| 7/16 | Break points converted | 4/7 |
| 11/15 | Service games held | 8/15 |
| 57% | Service points won | 51% |
| 49% | Return points won | 43% |
| 109 | Total points won | 99 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| N. Jarry | Tour | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 65% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 36% | 38% | 40% |
| Service games held | 80% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 19% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.62 | 0.24 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.14 | 0.18 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 29% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 3/8 | 11/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 12 | 65 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Nicolas Jarry
- 14/04/26WElmer Moller#163Challenger Oeiras 3 · R326:2 3:6 6:0
- 11/04/26LJurij Rodionov#137Challenger Madrid · SF7:6 6:7 6:7
- 10/04/26WNerman Fatic#584Challenger Madrid · QF6:1 6:4
- 09/04/26WDominic Stricker#251Challenger Madrid · R166:2 7:6
- 07/04/26WMiguel Damas#342Challenger Madrid · R326:1
- 17/03/26LMattia Bellucci#68ATP Miami · Q13:6 1:6
- 10/03/26LAdam Walton#97Challenger Cap Cana · R326:7 1:6
- 02/03/26LFrancesco Maestrelli#171ATP Indian Wells · Q14:6 6:4 6:7
- 23/02/26LDino Prizmic#95ATP Santiago · R323:6 7:5 2:6
- 14/02/26LJaime Faria#56ATP Rio de Janeiro · Q16:7 7:6 3:6
Tomas Barrios Vera
- 08/10/26LMiguel Tobon#466Challenger Antofagasta · R166:3 6:7 6:7
- 06/10/26WFranco Roncadelli#257Challenger Antofagasta · R326:4 6:2
- 03/10/26LGuido Ivan Justo#184Challenger Curitiba · SF6:4 4:6 3:6
- 02/10/26WMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#240Challenger Curitiba · QF6:1 3:6 6:3
- 30/09/26WJuan Bautista Torres#298Challenger Curitiba · R166:2 6:3
- 29/09/26WLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Curitiba · R326:1 6:1
- 31/08/26LAlexander Blockx#27ATP US Open · R1283:6 4:6 2:6
- 27/08/26WDaniel Rincon#235ATP US Open · Q36:4 6:3
- 26/08/26WGenaro Alberto Olivieri#255ATP US Open · Q26:3 6:1
- 24/08/26WJuan Carlos Prado Angelo#177ATP US Open · Q16:2 5:7 6:0
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| N. Jarry | T. Barrios Vera | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–50% | 9–853% |
| Clay | 4–357% | 24–2055% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 2–250% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.