Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Jasika vs Borisiouk 2:1: result and our tips

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Omar JasikaATP #422Elo 1504hard 1500
2:1final4:6 6:3 7:5
Martin BorisioukATP #869Elo 1551hard 1561

Our tips

Our tip
No third setLost61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

No third set in recent matches: Jasika 16 of 20, Borisiouk 7 of 9 (tour average 66%)

Long shot
Borisiouk to win 2-0Lost31%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Jasika lost 0-2 in 8 of the last 20 matches, Borisiouk won 2-0 in 5 of the last 9 matches (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Omar Jasika50%
Martin Borisiouk50%

Elo: O. Jasika 41% · M. Borisiouk 59%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 O. Jasika31%
2:1 O. Jasika19%
2:1 M. Borisiouk19%
2:0 M. Borisiouk31%

First set

Omar Jasika50%
Martin Borisiouk50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.574%26%64%
20.566%34%56%
21.559%41%51%
22.552%48%43%
23.545%55%37%
24.542%58%36%
25.539%61%32%

Sample: 5,050 matches

Games handicap

Omar Jasika −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes44%

tour average 34%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 22.0in · 31 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Omar JasikaMartin Borisiouk
1Aces8
4Double faults0
72%First serves in59%
66%First-serve points won70%
55%Second-serve points won53%
4/4Break points converted3/10
13/16Service games held11/15
63%Service points won63%
37%Return points won37%
99Total points won90

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

O. JasikaTourM. Borisiouk
Service points won60%62%68%
Return points won37%38%38%
Service games held72%76%88%
Breaks of serve21%24%23%
Aces per service game0.190.67
Double faults per game0.230.29
Sets with a tie-break15%9%
Tie-breaks won8/140/2
Wins in straight sets71%71%
Matches in the sample4010

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Omar Jasika

  • 30/09/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 6:3 3:6
  • 29/09/26WHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Jingshan · Q26:4 6:4
  • 28/09/26WChase Ferguson#595Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:1
  • 22/09/26LAlex Bolt#170ATP Hangzhou · Q14:6 3:6
  • 15/09/26LLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Guangzhou (Huangpu) · R327:6 2:6 0:1
  • 11/09/26LMarat Sharipov#234Challenger Shanghai · QF4:6 4:6
  • 09/09/26WRio Noguchi#221Challenger Shanghai · R166:2 7:5
  • 08/09/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#424Challenger Shanghai · R326:2 6:1
  • 07/09/26WYaojie ZengChallenger Shanghai · Q27:6 6:3
  • 01/09/26LAkira Santillan#324Challenger Zhangjiagang · R322:6 3:6

Martin Borisiouk

  • 05/10/26WKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q26:4 6:4
  • 04/10/26WJumpei YamasakiChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 17/09/26LFlorent Bax#302Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R163:6 6:7
  • 15/09/26WDominik Palan#631Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R325:7 6:2 7:5
  • 14/09/26WDong Ju Kim#748Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q26:4 6:3
  • 13/09/26WYuta Kawahashi#749Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:3 4:0
  • 08/09/26LKoki Matsuda#481Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R325:7 6:7
  • 07/09/26WEthan CookChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q26:3 6:2
  • 06/09/26WTakuya Kumasaka#615Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 09/08/26LKaran (IND) Singh#452Challenger Astana · Q14:6 6:3 3:6

Elo over the last year

Omar JasikaMartin Borisiouk

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

O. JasikaM. Borisiouk
Hard court13–2534%7–370%
Clay1–150%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Omar Jasika

First match in this tournament.

Martin Borisiouk

  • 04/10/26WJumpei YamasakiChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:4 6:2
  • 05/10/26WKristjan TammChallenger Wuning 3 · Q26:4 6:4