Jasika vs Moriya 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: O. Jasika 57% · H. Moriya 43%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 65% | 35% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 52% | 48% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 45% | 55% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
Sample: 5,306 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Over 21.5out · 17 games
- Games handicapcovered
Match stats
| Omar Jasika | Hiroki Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aces | 1 |
| 4 | Double faults | 2 |
| 72% | First serves in | 56% |
| 78% | First-serve points won | 67% |
| 44% | Second-serve points won | 38% |
| 3/4 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 9/9 | Service games held | 5/8 |
| 68% | Service points won | 54% |
| 46% | Return points won | 32% |
| 61 | Total points won | 44 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| O. Jasika | Tour | H. Moriya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 61% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 74% | 76% | 74% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 27% |
| Aces per service game | 0.18 | 0.22 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.21 | 0.30 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 15% | 19% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/15 | 8/24 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 56% | |
| Matches in the sample | 43 | 52 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Omar Jasika
- 13/10/26LLiam Draxl#197Challenger Jinan · Q27:5 6:7 4:6
- 11/10/26WPetr Bar Biryukov#327Challenger Jinan · Q16:1 6:2
- 10/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#361Challenger Wuning 3 · SF6:7 3:6
- 09/10/26WTimofei Derepasko#609Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:2
- 07/10/26WMarat Sharipov#225Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:3 3:0
- 06/10/26WMartin Borisiouk#867Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 6:3 7:5
- 30/09/26LDane Sweeny#112Challenger Jingshan · R322:6 6:3 3:6
- 29/09/26WHiroki Moriya#480Challenger Jingshan · Q26:4 6:4
- 28/09/26WChase Ferguson#582Challenger Jingshan · Q16:3 6:1
- 22/09/26LAlex Bolt#174ATP Hangzhou · Q14:6 3:6
Hiroki Moriya
- 07/10/26LKeisuke Saitoh#478Challenger Wuning 3 · R162:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WKeegan Smith#196Challenger Wuning 3 · R323:6 7:6 6:3
- 29/09/26LOmar Jasika#388Challenger Jingshan · Q24:6 4:6
- 28/09/26WJilong HuangChallenger Jingshan · Q16:0 6:4
- 15/09/26LBlake Ellis#445Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · R324:6 7:5 3:6
- 11/09/26LYuta Shimizu#376Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · QF7:5 5:7 6:7
- 09/09/26WMaximus Jones#488Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R166:3 7:6
- 07/09/26WDominik Palan#620Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R324:6 6:1 6:2
- 01/09/26LKasidit Samrej#382Challenger Zhangjiagang · R321:6 6:7
- 31/08/26WS D Prajwal Dev#686Challenger Zhangjiagang · Q26:1 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| O. Jasika | H. Moriya | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 16–2539% | 23–2647% |
| Clay | 1–150% | 1–150% |
| Grass | 0–0 | 1–150% |
Head to head
O. Jasika 1–0 H. Moriya
- 29/09/26Winner: Omar Jasika6:4 6:4