WTA 125 SamsunRound of 32hardbest of three sets

Jeanjean vs Bolkvadze 0:2: result and our tips

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Leolia JeanjeanWTA #94Elo 1799hard 1762
0:2final3:6 1:6
Mariam BolkvadzeWTA #338Elo 1676hard 1634

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Lost65%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Jeanjean 18 of 20, Bolkvadze 9 of 12 (tour average 60%); Jeanjean: 5 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: JeanjeanLost71%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 71%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Jeanjean won 8 of the last 10 matches; Jeanjean: 5 wins in a row

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Lost35%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Jeanjean: 5 matches in a row over 23.5 games; Over 23.5 games in recent matches: Jeanjean 13 of 20, Bolkvadze 4 of 12 (tour average 33%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Leolia Jeanjean71%
Mariam Bolkvadze29%

Elo: L. Jeanjean 68% · M. Bolkvadze 32%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Jeanjean48%
2:1 L. Jeanjean21%
2:1 M. Bolkvadze14%
2:0 M. Bolkvadze18%

First set

Leolia Jeanjean64%
Mariam Bolkvadze36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes35%
no66%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 20.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.575%25%70%
18.565%35%60%
19.556%44%53%
20.549%51%46%
21.543%57%41%
22.539%62%37%
23.535%65%33%

Sample: 1,850 matches

Games handicap

Leolia Jeanjean −4.546%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 21%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 20.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Leolia JeanjeanMariam Bolkvadze
1Aces0
1Double faults3
60%First serves in83%
37%First-serve points won67%
40%Second-serve points won22%
2/3Break points converted6/10
2/8Service games held6/8
38%Service points won59%
41%Return points won62%
41Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. JeanjeanTourM. Bolkvadze
Service points won57%56%55%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held67%63%61%
Breaks of serve34%37%45%
Aces per service game0.200.07
Double faults per game0.350.53
Sets with a tie-break13%21%
Tie-breaks won12/194/6
Wins in straight sets46%63%
Matches in the sample5912

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Leolia Jeanjean

Mariam Bolkvadze

  • 05/10/26WMariia Tkacheva#626WTA 125 Samsun · Q24:6 7:6 6:0
  • 04/10/26WAlya Naz AltinelWTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:0
  • 27/08/26LAnouk Koevermans#249WTA US Open · Q33:6 6:7
  • 26/08/26WAlevtina Ibragimova#169WTA US Open · Q26:4 6:3
  • 24/08/26WErika Andreeva#181WTA US Open · Q16:4 7:6
  • 25/07/26LDaria Kasatkina#82WTA Washington · R167:6 4:6 0:6
  • 02/07/26LAshlyn Krueger#68WTA Wimbledon · R641:6 0:6
  • 30/06/26WAjla Tomljanovic#108WTA Wimbledon · R1286:2 2:6 6:4
  • 25/06/26WJeline Vandromme#123WTA Wimbledon · Q36:4 4:6 6:3
  • 24/06/26WHayu Kinoshita#221WTA Wimbledon · Q26:3 6:2

Elo over the last year

Leolia JeanjeanMariam Bolkvadze

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. JeanjeanM. Bolkvadze
Hard court14–1254%4–267%
Clay17–1161%0–0
Grass4–180%4–267%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Leolia Jeanjean

First match in this tournament.

Mariam Bolkvadze

  • 04/10/26WAlya Naz AltinelWTA 125 Samsun · Q16:1 6:0
  • 05/10/26WMariia Tkacheva#626WTA 125 Samsun · Q24:6 7:6 6:0