Johnson vs Arutiunian 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
No third set in recent matches: Johnson 13 of 20, Arutiunian 19 of 20 (tour average 66%); Arutiunian: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set
Other tips
- Total Games: Under 23.5Lost57%
Where the number comes from: market alone 60% → with the players' profiles 57%
Under 23.5 games in recent matches: Johnson 12 of 20, Arutiunian 17 of 20 (tour average 63%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 42% → with the players' profiles 38%
Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Johnson 10 of 20, Arutiunian 14 of 20 (tour average 46%); Arutiunian: 4 matches in a row under 20.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: S. Johnson 54% · E. Arutiunian 47%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 69% | 31% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 61% | 39% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 49% | 52% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 38% | 62% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 35% | 65% | 32% |
Sample: 4,834 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.5out · 31 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Spencer Johnson | Erik Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Aces | 8 |
| 3 | Double faults | 4 |
| 68% | First serves in | 55% |
| 75% | First-serve points won | 70% |
| 47% | Second-serve points won | 49% |
| 3/8 | Break points converted | 3/7 |
| 13/16 | Service games held | 12/15 |
| 66% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 34% |
| 106 | Total points won | 97 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| S. Johnson | Tour | E. Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 64% | 62% | 64% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 81% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.58 | 0.67 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.24 | 0.25 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 28% | 15% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 6/13 | 5/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 93% | |
| Matches in the sample | 20 | 23 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Spencer Johnson
- 22/09/26LTristan Boyer#200Challenger San Diego 2 · R326:7 1:6
- 21/09/26WJakub VrbaChallenger San Diego 2 · Q26:2 6:4
- 20/09/26WJan KobierskiChallenger San Diego 2 · Q17:6 6:3
- 14/09/26LErik Arutiunian#588Challenger Tiburon · Q26:7 6:7
- 13/09/26WVignesh Gogineni#750Challenger Tiburon · Q16:1 6:7 6:1
- 24/08/26LCristian Garin#151ATP US Open · Q16:7 6:4 6:7
- 08/08/26LAndre Ilagan#203Challenger Lexington · SF4:6 4:6
- 07/08/26WAndres Martin#338Challenger Lexington · QF4:6 7:6 6:3
- 06/08/26WJay Friend#272Challenger Lexington · R166:3 6:0
- 04/08/26WMoez Echargui#348Challenger Lexington · R326:4 6:3
Erik Arutiunian
- 22/09/26LTrevor Svajda#474Challenger San Diego 2 · R323:6 3:6
- 21/09/26WAndrew Fenty#456Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:3 6:3
- 20/09/26WLuca Staeheli#425Challenger San Diego 2 · Q16:4 6:4
- 15/09/26LBraden Shick#208Challenger Tiburon · R323:6 4:6
- 14/09/26WSpencer Johnson#432Challenger Tiburon · Q27:6 7:6
- 13/09/26WNicholas GodsickChallenger Tiburon · Q16:3 6:1
- 13/08/26LMasamichi Imamura#427Challenger Astana · R163:6 4:6
- 11/08/26WSanhui Shin#619Challenger Astana · R326:1 1:6 7:6
- 10/08/26WMitsuki Wei Kang Leong#405Challenger Astana · Q26:4 6:4
- 09/08/26WEgor Pleshivtsev#853Challenger Astana · Q16:3 6:3
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| S. Johnson | E. Arutiunian | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 12–860% | 14–961% |
Head to head
S. Johnson 0–1 E. Arutiunian
- 14/09/26Winner: Erik Arutiunian6:7 6:7