WTA OsakaWTA 250Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Joint vs Okamura 2:0: result and our tips

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Maya JointWTA #90Elo 1748hard 1733
2:0final6:4 6:2
Kyoka OkamuraWTA #246Elo 1693hard 1693

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maya Joint77%
Kyoka Okamura23%

Elo: M. Joint 56% · K. Okamura 44%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Joint54%
2:1 M. Joint21%
2:1 K. Okamura12%
2:0 K. Okamura13%

First set

Maya Joint70%
Kyoka Okamura30%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes33%
no67%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.0 · 48%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.572%28%72%
18.563%37%63%
19.556%44%56%
20.548%52%49%
21.544%56%44%
22.538%63%38%
23.534%67%34%

Sample: 1,605 matches

Games handicap

Maya Joint −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes22%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.0out · 18 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Maya JointKyoka Okamura
—Aces—
1Double faults3
67%First serves in60%
62%First-serve points won61%
65%Second-serve points won32%
5/6Break points converted2/5
7/9Service games held4/9
63%Service points won49%
51%Return points won37%
60Total points won46

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. JointTourK. Okamura
Service points won54%56%58%
Return points won44%44%44%
Service games held60%63%67%
Breaks of serve35%37%36%
Aces per service game0.160.22
Double faults per game0.330.26
Sets with a tie-break11%19%
Tie-breaks won7/125/9
Wins in straight sets40%67%
Matches in the sample4521

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maya Joint

Kyoka Okamura

Elo over the last year

Maya JointKyoka Okamura

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. JointK. Okamura
Hard court18–1751%12–957%
Clay1–517%0–0
Grass1–325%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.