Challenger CataniaChallenger 50Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Jones vs Gima 1:2: result and our tips

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Maximus JonesATP #496Elo 1516clay 1509
1:2final2:6 6:3 3:6
Sebastian GimaATP #589Elo 1461clay 1483

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Maximus Jones34%
Sebastian Gima66%

Elo: M. Jones 54% · S. Gima 46%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 M. Jones19%
2:1 M. Jones15%
2:1 S. Gima23%
2:0 S. Gima43%

First set

Maximus Jones38%
Sebastian Gima62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.572%29%68%
19.563%37%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%47%
22.544%56%40%
23.539%61%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,443 matches

Games handicap

Sebastian Gima −3.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Over 21.5in · 26 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Maximus JonesSebastian Gima
4Aces3
5Double faults3
64%First serves in56%
64%First-serve points won63%
42%Second-serve points won61%
3/9Break points converted5/9
8/13Service games held10/13
56%Service points won62%
38%Return points won44%
80Total points won89

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

M. JonesTourS. Gima
Service points won62%62%59%
Return points won37%38%39%
Service games held75%76%70%
Breaks of serve22%24%26%
Aces per service game0.440.26
Double faults per game0.260.25
Sets with a tie-break22%15%
Tie-breaks won9/194/9
Wins in straight sets47%70%
Matches in the sample3627

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Maximus Jones

  • 09/09/26LHiroki Moriya#505Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R163:6 6:7
  • 08/09/26WFlorent Bax#302Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:0 3:6 7:6
  • 02/09/26LIvan Ivanov#494Challenger Manacor · R320:6 4:6
  • 01/09/26WOskari Paldanius#787Challenger Manacor · Q26:3 6:4
  • 31/08/26WAlastair Gray#292Challenger Manacor · Q16:2 7:5
  • 14/07/26LIlya Ivashka#237Challenger Pozoblanco · R322:6 1:3
  • 19/05/26LSasikumar Mukund#674Challenger Bengaluru 3 · R326:7 6:7
  • 14/05/26LPhilip Sekulic#363Challenger Bengaluru 2 · QF7:6 3:6 1:6
  • 13/05/26WAmit Vales#600Challenger Bengaluru 2 · R166:2 6:7 6:4
  • 11/05/26WSidharth Rawat#664Challenger Bengaluru 2 · R326:4 7:6

Sebastian Gima

  • 22/09/26LJonas Forejtek#343Challenger Plovdiv 4 · R324:6 6:4 3:6
  • 21/09/26WFilip Misolic#471Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q26:3 4:6 6:3
  • 20/09/26WAleksandar TolevChallenger Plovdiv 4 · Q16:1 6:3
  • 30/06/26LGuido Ivan Justo#188Challenger Brasov · R322:6 1:6
  • 29/06/26LRadu Albot#468Challenger Brasov · Q22:6 6:7
  • 28/06/26WStefan Adrian Andreescu#647Challenger Brasov · Q16:3 1:0
  • 24/06/26LAndrej Nedic#244Challenger Targu Mures · R167:6 3:6 5:7
  • 23/06/26WDenis Yevseyev#469Challenger Targu Mures · R327:6 6:3
  • 22/06/26LOriol Roca Batalla#312Challenger Targu Mures · Q23:6 4:6
  • 21/06/26WAdil KalyanpurChallenger Targu Mures · Q16:0 6:1

Elo over the last year

Maximus JonesSebastian Gima

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

M. JonesS. Gima
Hard court15–2142%1–517%
Clay0–09–1243%

Head to head

They have not met yet.