WTA BeijingWTA 1000Round of 16hardbest of three sets

Jovic vs Świątek 0:2: result and our tips

·

Iva JovicWTA #11Elo 2067hard 2029
0:2final1:6 3:6
Iga ŚwiątekWTA #9Elo 2179hard 2159

Our tips

Our tip
Swiatek to winWon67%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Swiatek won 8 of the last 10 matches

Other tips

  • No tie-breakWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    No tie-break in recent matches: Jovic 17 of 20, Swiatek 17 of 20 (tour average 78%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Iva Jovic33%
Iga Świątek67%

Elo: I. Jovic 32% · I. Świątek 68%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 I. Jovic20%
2:1 I. Jovic15%
2:1 I. Świątek22%
2:0 I. Świątek44%

First set

Iva Jovic38%
Iga Świątek62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 48%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.548%53%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%
24.535%65%32%

Sample: 2,108 matches

Games handicap

Iga Świątek −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 21.0out · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Iva JovicIga Świątek
0Aces2
1Double faults1
73%First serves in69%
55%First-serve points won71%
22%Second-serve points won64%
1/3Break points converted5/12
3/8Service games held7/8
46%Service points won69%
31%Return points won54%
45Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

I. JovicTourI. Świątek
Service points won59%56%61%
Return points won46%44%48%
Service games held71%63%73%
Breaks of serve41%37%45%
Aces per service game0.210.20
Double faults per game0.220.30
Sets with a tie-break10%8%
Tie-breaks won8/147/10
Wins in straight sets77%76%
Matches in the sample6353

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Iva Jovic

Iga Świątek

Elo over the last year

Iva JovicIga Świątek

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

I. JovicI. Świątek
Hard court30–1271%27–975%
Clay8–562%9–469%
Grass6–275%2–250%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Iva Jovic

Iga Świątek