Challenger AntofagastaChallenger 75Round of 32claybest of three sets

Justo vs Comesana 2:1: result and our tips

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Guido Ivan JustoATP #188Elo 1761clay 1772
2:1final6:7(6) 7:6(4) 6:1
Francisco ComesanaATP #125Elo 1783clay 1787

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Guido Ivan Justo32%
Francisco Comesana68%

Elo: G. Justo 48% · F. Comesana 52%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Justo18%
2:1 G. Justo14%
2:1 F. Comesana23%
2:0 F. Comesana45%

First set

Guido Ivan Justo37%
Francisco Comesana63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 52%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%68%
19.561%39%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.542%58%40%
23.539%62%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,177 matches

Games handicap

Francisco Comesana −3.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 21.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Guido Ivan JustoFrancisco Comesana
4Aces11
5Double faults0
66%First serves in55%
73%First-serve points won75%
56%Second-serve points won56%
3/6Break points converted1/5
15/16Service games held12/15
67%Service points won66%
34%Return points won33%
107Total points won98

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. JustoTourF. Comesana
Service points won60%62%63%
Return points won45%38%37%
Service games held72%76%78%
Breaks of serve38%24%22%
Aces per service game0.150.51
Double faults per game0.150.25
Sets with a tie-break10%18%
Tie-breaks won9/1910/22
Wins in straight sets69%60%
Matches in the sample8247

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Guido Ivan Justo

Francisco Comesana

Elo over the last year

Guido Ivan JustoFrancisco Comesana

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. JustoF. Comesana
Hard court0–10%6–1233%
Clay52–2964%14–1450%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.