Challenger Wuning 3Challenger 50Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Kachmazov vs Broom 2:1: result and our tips

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Alibek KachmazovATP #525Elo 1595hard 1601
2:1final4:6 7:6(5) 6:4
Charles BroomATP #268Elo 1722hard 1705

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alibek Kachmazov51%
Charles Broom49%

Elo: A. Kachmazov 35% · C. Broom 65%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Kachmazov32%
2:1 A. Kachmazov20%
2:1 C. Broom19%
2:0 C. Broom30%

First set

Alibek Kachmazov51%
Charles Broom49%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 50%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%64%
20.563%37%56%
21.557%43%51%
22.550%50%43%
23.544%56%37%
24.541%59%36%
25.538%62%32%

Sample: 5,070 matches

Games handicap

Alibek Kachmazov −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 34%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 22.5out · 33 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Alibek KachmazovCharles Broom
10Aces14
5Double faults3
62%First serves in50%
76%First-serve points won72%
50%Second-serve points won64%
3/7Break points converted3/5
13/16Service games held13/16
66%Service points won68%
32%Return points won34%
92Total points won95

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KachmazovTourC. Broom
Service points won63%62%64%
Return points won39%38%39%
Service games held78%76%79%
Breaks of serve26%24%26%
Aces per service game0.530.45
Double faults per game0.190.19
Sets with a tie-break30%16%
Tie-breaks won3/610/21
Wins in straight sets100%63%
Matches in the sample855

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alibek Kachmazov

  • 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
  • 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 07/09/26LGabriel Ghetu#570Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
  • 06/09/26WLouis Wessels#435Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:3 7:6
  • 09/08/26LColin Sinclair#485Challenger Astana · Q16:7 7:6 2:6
  • 08/02/26LAlejo Sanchez Quilez#375Challenger Tenerife 2 · Q16:0 4:6 2:6
  • 02/02/26LGabriele Piraino#392Challenger Tenerife · R326:7 7:6 2:6
  • 26/01/26LYanki Erel#300Challenger Manama · Q14:6 3:6
  • 19/08/25LTitouan Droguet#72ATP US Open · Q11:6 2:4
  • 05/08/25LAlexander Blockx#28ATP Cincinnati · Q12:4

Charles Broom

  • 01/09/26LMathys Erhard#373Challenger Manacor · Q22:6 7:6 1:6
  • 31/08/26WHongjin QiChallenger Manacor · Q16:2 6:2
  • 29/08/26LGeorge Loffhagen#374Challenger Roehampton 2 · F5:7 3:6
  • 28/08/26WOliver Tarvet#307Challenger Roehampton 2 · SF6:4 5:7 6:1
  • 27/08/26WMax Basing#248Challenger Roehampton 2 · QF6:4 6:2
  • 26/08/26WPatrick Brady#715Challenger Roehampton 2 · R166:4 6:1
  • 25/08/26WLeonardo Rossi#545Challenger Roehampton 2 · R326:4 6:1
  • 20/08/26LOliver Tarvet#307Challenger Roehampton · QF4:6 7:5 1:6
  • 19/08/26WAlex Rybakov#707Challenger Roehampton · R167:5 6:3
  • 18/08/26WFilip Peliwo#661Challenger Roehampton · R326:1 6:1

Elo over the last year

Alibek KachmazovCharles Broom

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KachmazovC. Broom
Hard court3–538%27–1761%
Clay0–00–20%
Grass0–05–456%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Alibek Kachmazov

  • 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#865Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1

Charles Broom

First match in this tournament.

See also