Challenger SeoulChallenger 175Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kachmazov vs Kim 2:1: result and our tips

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Alibek KachmazovATP #361Elo 1674hard 1679
2:1final4:6 6:3 6:1
Dong Ju KimATP #729Elo 1377hard 1381

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Alibek Kachmazov89%
Dong Ju Kim11%

Elo: A. Kachmazov 85% · D. Kim 15%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Kachmazov70%
2:1 A. Kachmazov18%
2:1 D. Kim6%
2:0 D. Kim6%

First set

Alibek Kachmazov81%
Dong Ju Kim19%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes24%
no76%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 19.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 21.0

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
16.579%21%88%
17.569%31%80%
18.559%41%71%
19.550%51%63%
20.542%58%54%
21.536%64%49%
22.530%70%42%

Sample: 1,680 matches

Games handicap

Alibek Kachmazov −5.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Under 19.5out · 26 games
  • Games handicapcovered

Match stats

Alibek KachmazovDong Ju Kim
11Aces0
2Double faults1
56%First serves in69%
74%First-serve points won55%
56%Second-serve points won52%
5/11Break points converted2/9
11/13Service games held8/13
66%Service points won54%
46%Return points won34%
97Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KachmazovTourD. Kim
Service points won64%62%62%
Return points won38%38%39%
Service games held80%76%73%
Breaks of serve22%24%26%
Aces per service game0.620.35
Double faults per game0.200.17
Sets with a tie-break37%14%
Tie-breaks won10/131/2
Wins in straight sets75%50%
Matches in the sample146

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Alibek Kachmazov

  • 13/10/26LJay Friend#272Challenger Jinan · R327:6 5:7 3:6
  • 11/10/26WJay Friend#272Challenger Wuning 3 · F4:6 7:6 7:6
  • 10/10/26WOmar Jasika#388Challenger Wuning 3 · SF7:6 6:3
  • 09/10/26WFajing Sun#296Challenger Wuning 3 · QF6:3 6:4
  • 08/10/26WEvan Zhu#462Challenger Wuning 3 · R167:6 7:6
  • 06/10/26WCharles Broom#264Challenger Wuning 3 · R324:6 7:6 6:4
  • 05/10/26WGrigoriy Lomakin#851Challenger Wuning 3 · Q26:1 6:1
  • 04/10/26WYan Lang ChenChallenger Wuning 3 · Q16:1 6:2
  • 07/09/26LGabriel Ghetu#566Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:7 6:2 4:6
  • 06/09/26WLouis Wessels#423Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:3 7:6

Dong Ju Kim

  • 14/09/26LMartin Borisiouk#867Challenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q24:6 3:6
  • 13/09/26WTran Quoc CuongChallenger Phan Thiet 4 · Q16:2 6:0
  • 07/09/26LGrigoriy Lomakin#851Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q24:6 6:2 6:7
  • 06/09/26WKristjan TammChallenger Phan Thiet 3 · Q13:6 6:3 7:6
  • 12/04/26LHikaru Shiraishi#592Challenger Busan · Q15:7 3:6
  • 26/10/25LKokoro Isomura#649Challenger Seoul · Q14:6 3:6

Elo over the last year

Alibek KachmazovDong Ju Kim

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KachmazovD. Kim
Hard court8–657%2–433%

Head to head

They have not met yet.