WTA NingboWTA 500Qualifying round 1hardbest of three setsqualifying

Kalinina vs Waltert 2:1: result and our tips

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Anhelina KalininaWTA #51Elo 1799hard 1732
2:1final6:4 3:6 6:3
Simona WaltertWTA #125Elo 1686hard 1631

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anhelina Kalinina68%
Simona Waltert32%

Elo: A. Kalinina 64% · S. Waltert 36%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Kalinina45%
2:1 A. Kalinina21%
2:1 S. Waltert15%
2:0 S. Waltert19%

First set

Anhelina Kalinina64%
Simona Waltert36%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%24%72%
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.541%60%38%
23.537%64%34%

Sample: 2,049 matches

Games handicap

Anhelina Kalinina −3.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 28 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Anhelina KalininaSimona Waltert
2Aces3
7Double faults17
59%First serves in53%
66%First-serve points won67%
35%Second-serve points won35%
7/11Break points converted6/18
8/14Service games held7/14
53%Service points won52%
48%Return points won47%
96Total points won93

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. KalininaTourS. Waltert
Service points won57%56%56%
Return points won47%44%45%
Service games held66%63%63%
Breaks of serve43%37%39%
Aces per service game0.130.16
Double faults per game0.310.38
Sets with a tie-break6%9%
Tie-breaks won8/98/13
Wins in straight sets71%61%
Matches in the sample6562

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anhelina Kalinina

Simona Waltert

Elo over the last year

Anhelina KalininaSimona Waltert

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. KalininaS. Waltert
Hard court10–953%10–1442%
Clay32–978%23–1364%
Grass2–340%0–20%

Head to head

A. Kalinina 1–0 S. Waltert

  • 18/05/26Winner: Anhelina Kalinina6:3 6:4